AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Conference League Predictions
Jagiellonia and AZ Alkmaar have the chance to finish in the top eight of the Conference League’s league phase. Both start the sixth round in playoff positions, with AZ placed 13th and Jagiellonia 18th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
AZ return home after last week’s 3-1 win at Drita in the fifth round. A draw will be enough for them to secure a playoff spot. However, the Dutch side stands to gain massively with a win, which could land them in the top eight.
AZ have won each of their last five home matches in the Conference League. It will boost their confidence even more, having not lost a home game in Europe in eight outings.
Jagiellonia are coming into this game on a much weaker footing. They drew 1-1 with Motor Lublin in the Polish league, and with that, registered a fifth straight winless outing.
Three of these matches ended in defeat, and their only positive is having scored in each of the last four matches. Last time out in the Conference League, they fell 2-1 at home to Rayo Vallecano.
Their first defeat left them on two wins in the five league phase matches and just two points adrift of the top eight. As they are unbeaten in five away matches in Europe, Jagiellonia have something to cling to.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
AZ Alkmaar v Jagiellonia Bialystok Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.39 | 5.8 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.4 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.4 | 7.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok match is: AZ Alkmaar wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.12% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Jagiellonia Bialystok with odds of 1.39 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok is 26.22% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 7.6 at Betwinner.
AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction and Best Odds:
| AZ Alkmaar Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 54.12% | 1.39 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.53% | |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AZ Alkmaar | 25.05% | 4.4 at LSbet |
AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Form
AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
|
17
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 |
AZ Alkmaar and Jagiellonia Bialystok Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
3 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4 Dec 2025 - Polish Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
14 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
18 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
7 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4 Dec 2025 - Polish Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
9 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
AZ Alkmaar against Jagiellonia Bialystok Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Zoet
H. Verhulst
DefenderM. Dekker
R. Daal
B. van Duijl
E. Dijkstra
M. Sin
D. Kwakman
ForwardL. Zeefuik
I. Sadiq
M. Piekutowski
DefenderY. Kobayashi
E. Kozlowski
A. Jackson
D. Drachal
B. Mazurek
S. Lozano
L. Prip
ForwardD. Rallis
A. Cantero
C. Polak
Y. Sylla
Missing players
D. Kasius
S. Maikuma
MidfielderJ. Clasie
ForwardM. Meerdink
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia Bialystok
S. Mijnans
(6 Goals)
J. Imaz Balleste
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Mazurek
(3 Goals)
K. Smit
(4 Assists)
A. Pululu
(2 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Bialystok Key Points
- AZ Alkmaar are on five wins in five Conference League home matches.
- AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in eight home games in Europe.
- Jagiellonia are winless in their last five matches, losing three.
- Jagiellonia’s last visit to the Netherlands ended in defeat.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction
While Jagiellonia are heading into this game with a good run away from home in Europe, they aren't carrying great memories here. In their last visit to the Netherlands, they were thrashed 7-1 by an in-form Ajax side in the Europa League last season.
Coming here winless in five matches doesn’t place them on a very confident footing. They face a host that has five straight wins in Conference League matches at home, and AZ are expected to keep this run going. Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar v Jagiellonia is that AZ Alkmaar wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar Jagiellonia Bialystok
| AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Bialystok | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 1.62 | 1.39 | -14.2% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 6 | +39.5% |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok wins | 5.2 | 7.6 | +46.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 71.9% (10.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
