AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

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Europe - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
26/02/2026 15:00
FC Noah

Prediction :

 

Noah +2 goals handicap

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions

AZ Alkmaar enter this second leg of their Conference League clash in a precarious position after FC Noah shocked them with a 1-0 win despite being absolutely dominated. Can De Kaaskoppen overturn the deficit at home, or will Noah continue its dream run into the RO16? Find out in our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah match prediction.

Following that rude awakening at the hands of FC Noah, AZ Alkmaar thrashed Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 at home, and are now fired up for the second leg. And it's on these grounds that De Kaaskoppen are especially dangerous. At home, Alkmaar has only tasted defeat in one of its last ten games, while still being unbeaten at home in this tournament.

However, unlike AZ, which had a game between their latest clash, FC Noah will enter with a full week's worth of rest. While they remain the underdog for good reasons, De Kaaskoppen cannot underestimate the away side’s chances.

Noah has played nine games in the Conference League since the qualifiers and has lost only two matches. And in four away matches in this competition, Noah only lost one, holding Aberdeen and U. Craiova to a stalemate while beating Olimpija, all as the underdog.

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AZ Alkmaar v FC Noah Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.28 6.2 10
Melbet
1.26 6.3 9.8
Betwinner
1.27 6.15 9.6
Bet365
1.25 6.5 9.5
Roobet
1.27 6 10
Check all AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and FC Noah?

Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah match is: Noah +2 goals handicap.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between AZ Alkmaar and FC Noah in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.77% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against FC Noah with odds of 1.29 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah is 28.33% with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.89% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 11 at Tonybet.

AZ Alkmaar - FC Noah Prediction and Best Odds:

AZ Alkmaar FC Noah Prediction Probability Odds
AZ Alkmaar wins 44.77% 1.29 at Betway
Under 2.5 58% 2.48 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time / Full-time : AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar 19.88% 1.82 at LSbet

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Form

AZ Alkmaar and FC Noah Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen
W D L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

21 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Excelsior

14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
6 :  0
Ajax
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
4 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Drita
0 :  3
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
FC Noah Last matches
D L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

31 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lokomotiv Moscow
2 :  0
FC Noah

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Dynamo Kyiv
2 :  0
FC Noah

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
2 :  1
Legia Warsaw

6 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  3
FC BKMA Yerevan

2 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Van Charentsavan
0 :  0
FC Noah
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
2 :  1
Legia Warsaw

6 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  3
FC BKMA Yerevan

22 Nov 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  2
FC Alashkert Yerevan

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  2
Sigma Olomouc

1 Nov 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
1 :  2
FC Ararat-Armenia
D W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lokomotiv Moscow
2 :  0
FC Noah

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Dynamo Kyiv
2 :  0
FC Noah

2 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Van Charentsavan
0 :  0
FC Noah

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Aberdeen
1 :  1
FC Noah

27 Oct 2025 - Armenian Premier League

Ararat Yerevan
0 :  3
FC Noah

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

CS Universitatea Craiova
1 :  1
FC Noah

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AZ Alkmaar

0 %

Draw

0 %

FC Noah

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar against FC Noah Lineups: Starting 11

AZ Alkmaar

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
R. Owusu Oduro
22
E. Dijkstra
5
A. Penetra
23
B. van Duijl
15
M. Chavez
6
P. Koopmeiners
10
S. Mijnans
26
K. Smit
11
I. Sadiq
9
T. Parrott
27
R. Daal
7
H. Ferreira
32
N. Mulahusejnovic
19
H. Hambardzumyan
17
G. Sangare
88
Y. Eteki
14
T. Oshima
33
D. Sualehe
44
N. Zolotic
39
N. Saintini
3
S. Muradyan
92
A. Ploshchadny

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

FC Noah

Substitutes

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

J. Zoet

H. Verhulst

Defender

M. Dekker

R. Ichihara

M. De Wit

M. Chavez 80'

Midfielder

K. Boogaard

K. Smit 68'

I. Jensen

I. Sadiq 83'

M. Sin

Forward

J. Hornkamp

A. Oufkir

R. Daal 83'

W. Patati

M. Meerdink

S. Mijnans 68'

FC Noah
FC Noah
Goalkeeper

T. Fayulu

Defender

E. Boakye

S. Muradyan 80'

G. Silva

Midfielder

H. Harutyunyan

A. Khamoyan

I. Oulad Omar

H. Hambardzumyan 57'

Forward

G. Manvelyan

M. Aias 80'

M. Aias

G. Sangare 57'

M. Jakolis

N. Mulahusejnovic 63'

Missing players

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Defender

D. Kasius

Midfielder

J. Clasie

Forward

L. Zeefuik

FC Noah
FC Noah

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
CD Huachipato FC Noah
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands S. Mijnans (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina N. Mulahusejnovic (5 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands K. Smit (4 Assists)
Best assists
Japan T. Oshima (2 Assists)

AZ Alkmaar - FC Noah Key Points

  1. Of Noah’s nine Conference league games, they only failed to win one when given a +2 goals handicap.
  2. The opponents won five of AZ Alkmaar's seven tournament games when given the +2 goals handicap.
  3. Noah has won 17 of its last 18 games when given the +2 goals handicap.
  4. While Alkmaar dominated in possession, Noah actually took more shots and had a higher xG.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Prediction

We're betting that Noah will still win this game when given a +2 goals handicap. And we have just enough data to back that. Noah has won this bet in eight of its nine games in this tournament, and has also done so in 17 of its last 18 games.

With qualification just 90 mins away, we expect Noah to bring their A-game, which should see them avoid losing by 2+ golds, just as they've been doing. What's more, Alkmaar has scored just as many goals as Noah in this tournament, which indicates a similar offensive strength. Hence, our AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah prediction is Noah +2 goals handicap.

Prediction :

 

Noah +2 goals handicap

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar FC Noah

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AZ Alkmaar wins 1.3 1.29 -0.8%
Draw 5.25 6.5 +23.8%
FC Noah wins 8 11 +37.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 77.5% (0.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Prediction