Australia vs South Korea Prediction & Betting Tips - Asian Cup

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Asia - Asian Cup

Australia
02/02/2024 10:30
South Korea

Prediction :

 

Australia or Draw

 
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 by Joseph King | in Football Predictions

Two of the region's best teams face off in the marquee matchup of the AFC Asian Cup quarter-final as Australia takes on South Korea. It’s a rematch of the 2015 final in which Australia prevailed 2-1 in extra time to win their first ever title in this competition. The winner of this clash will progress to the final four in a semi-final matchup with either Tajikistan or Jordan and be overwhelming favorites to make it to the final. These sides appear very evenly matched with only a single spot separating them in the FIFA rankings. South Korea currently holds the 23rd position in the rankings while Australia comes in just behind at 25th.

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Australia v South Korea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.15 2.75 2.38
1xbet
3.61 3.03 2.25
Melbet
3.15 3.13 2.41
Betwinner
3.13 3.13 2.42
Bet365
3.4 3 2.3

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What is the prediction for the football match between Australia and South Korea?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2024 between Australia and South Korea in Asian Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.94% for a win of Australia against South Korea with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Australia vs South Korea is 37.89% with odds of 3.13 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.17% chance ⭐ for a win of South Korea vs Australia with odds of 2.46 at Tonybet.

Australia - South Korea Prediction and Best Odds:

Australia South Korea Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 37.89% 3.13 at Melbet
Under 2.5 62.05% 1.54 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score: No 52.08%
Half-time : Australia / Full-time : South Korea 16.28% 21 at Betsson

Australia vs South Korea Form

Australia and South Korea Last Matches

Australia
Australia Last matches
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
4 :  0
Indonesia

23 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
1 :  1
Uzbekistan

18 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Syria
0 :  1
Australia

13 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
2 :  0
India

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Bahrain
0 :  2
Australia

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Palestine
0 :  1
Australia
W L W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
4 :  0
Indonesia

23 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
1 :  1
Uzbekistan

13 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Australia
2 :  0
India

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Australia
7 :  0
Bangladesh

28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  2
Ecuador

24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

Australia
3 :  1
Ecuador
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Syria
0 :  1
Australia

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Bahrain
0 :  2
Australia

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Palestine
0 :  1
Australia

13 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  0
Australia

15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Australia

3 Dec 2022 - World Cup

Argentina
2 :  1
Australia
South Korea
South Korea Last matches
W W W D D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
South Korea

25 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

South Korea
3 :  3
Malaysia

20 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Jordan
2 :  2
South Korea

15 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

South Korea
3 :  1
Bahrain

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  3
South Korea

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

South Korea
5 :  0
Singapore
L L D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

South Korea
3 :  3
Malaysia

15 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

South Korea
3 :  1
Bahrain

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

South Korea
5 :  0
Singapore

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

South Korea
1 :  1
El Salvador

16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

South Korea
0 :  1
Peru

28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

South Korea
1 :  2
Uruguay
D L D W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
South Korea

20 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Jordan
2 :  2
South Korea

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  3
South Korea

7 Sept 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
South Korea

5 Dec 2022 - World Cup

Brazil
4 :  1
South Korea

24 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
South Korea

Australia vs South Korea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Australia

0 %

Draw

100 %

South Korea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

17 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  1
South Korea

Australia - South Korea: Form Analysis

Manager Graham Arnold likely couldn’t have hoped for a better stretch of form from his Australia side in the leadup to this defining quarter-final matchup. The Socceroos are unbeaten in their last eight fixtures, seven of which resulted in victories. What’s even more encouraging is Australia’s ironclad defense which has now kept seven clean sheets over that eight match span while conceding only once. The group stage saw the Aussies cruise by India and Syria by scores of 2-0 and 1-0, respectively, before playing out a 1-1 draw with Uzbekistan in a result that would have pleased both managers. They would then turn on the attacking flair as they scored four goals against Indonesia in a 4-0 round of 16 win.

South Korea have experienced a bumpier path to the final eight than their opponents today. The Taeguk Warriors saw their seven game winning streak come to an end after their 2-2 draw with Jordan in the second group stage game. After winning their opening match of the competition, South Korea haven’t managed to grab a victory in 90 minutes in the three matches since. If not for a goal in the ninth minute of added time, the South Koreans would have been sent packing in the round of 16 to Saudi Arabia. As things stand, Jurgen Klinsmann's squad were able to overcome the Saudis on penalties. Still, with goals conceded in every match of this competition (seven in total), the South Korea defense is not inspiring much confidence heading into this quarter-final showdown.

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Australia vs South Korea Prediction

Australia against South Korea Lineups: Starting 11

Australia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
M. Ryan
3
N. Atkinson
4
K. Rowles
19
H. Souttar
16
A. Behich
8
C. Metcalfe
17
K. Baccus
22
J. Irvine
6
M. Boyle
15
M. Duke
23
C. Goodwin
9
C. Gue-sung
11
H. Hee-chan
7
S. Heung-min
18
L. Kang-in
6
H. In-beom
5
P. Yong-woo
22
S. Young-woo
19
K. Young-gwon
4
K. Min-jae
23
K. Tae hwan
21
J. Hyeon-woo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

South Korea

Substitutes

Australia
Australia
Goalkeeper

J. Gauci

L. Thomas

Defender

L. Miller

N. Atkinson 72'

C. Burgess

M. Boyle 86'

J. Bos

C. Goodwin 72'

Midfielder

R. McGree

C. Metcalfe 69'

A. O'Neill

K. Baccus 69'

P. Yazbek

Forward

B. Fornaroli

M. Duke 92'

K. Yengi

M. Tilio

S. Silvera

South Korea
South Korea
Goalkeeper

S. Bum-keun

Defender

S. Jung

L. Kang-in 120'

P. Jin-seob

P. Yong-woo 105'

K. Ji-soo

K. Jin-su

L. Ki-Je

L. Soon-min

Midfielder

L. Jae-sung

C. Gue-sung 69'

H. Hyun-seok

H. In-beom 77'

Y. Hyun-jun

K. Tae hwan 85'

J. Woo-yeong

Forward

O. Hyeon-gyu

H. Hee-chan 105'

Australia & South Korea Squad Analysis

Graham Arnold looks set to be getting a few players back for this quarter-final. Both Lewis Miller and Thomas Deng are both expected to be available for selection after each suffering from an illness and thus failing to make the bench for the round of 16 win over Indonesia. Arnold will also be able to call upon right back Gethin Jones who was forced off in the 69th minute of the previous match with a groin injury. Scans have been positive and Jones has been cleared for selection against South Korea.

South Korea manager Jurgen Klinsmann isn't expected to alter his selection too much after making just a single change in the team's last match against Saudi Arabia. Without any notable injuries or absences to speak of, expect a near identical starting 11 here. Tottenham's Son Heung-Min is the obvious danger man for the South Korean side with the forward having netted 43 goals for his country in 121 appearances. The 31-year-old has two goals in this edition of the AFC Asian Cup.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Australia
CD Huachipato South Korea
Top Goalscorer
Australia J. Irvine (2 Goals) , 
Australia M. Boyle (2 Goals) , 
Australia C. Goodwin (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
South Korea L. Kang-in (3 Goals) ,  South Korea S. Heung-min (3 Goals)
Best assists
Australia R. McGree (1 Assists) , 
Australia G. Jones (1 Assists) , 
Australia C. Goodwin (1 Assists) , 
Australia N. Atkinson (1 Assists)
Best assists
South Korea S. Heung-min (1 Assists) , 
South Korea H. In-beom (1 Assists) , 
South Korea K. Min-jae (1 Assists) , 
South Korea L. Kang-in (1 Assists) , 
South Korea S. Young-woo (1 Assists)

Australia - South Korea Key Points

  1. Australia have conceded only a single goal in their last 720 minutes of football.
  2. The Socceroos have won seven and drawn once in their last eight matches.
  3. South Korea needed a 90+9 minute goal to avoid elimination to Saudi Arabia in the round of 16.
  4. The South Koreans have managed to win only one of their four matches in 90 minutes so far in the AFC Asian Cup.
  5. South Korea has conceded in all four of their games in this competition, letting in seven goals total (1.75 conceded per game on average).
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Our Australia vs South Korea Prediction

Australia has been the more impressive of these two teams in this tournament so far. South Korea is likely the more talented squad overall, but their defensive solidity is a real concern while the Aussies are looking almost impenetrable at the back. The 2015 final between these two finished in a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes and we wouldn't be shocked to see a similar result this time out. We think these two should be closer in their odds, meaning we see some definite value in backing the underdogs at this price. Our Australia vs South Korea prediction is for Australia on the double chance.

Prediction :

 

Australia or Draw

 
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Australia vs South Korea Alternative Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 2.2
While Australia have been on a superb defensive run of form over their last eight matches, this will undoubtedly be their toughest test. South Korea have looked off the pace defensively this entire tournament, conceding seven goals already with all four of their matches seeing both teams finding the net. Their attack has been able to produce the goods, however, averaging over 2.00 goals per game with nine strikes in four matches. There's enough attacking firepower on the pitch that we think the current price for BTTS is simply too high.
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Australia vs South Korea - FAQs

The AFC Asian Cup quarter-final matchup between Australia and South Korea will take place at the Al Janoub Stadium in Qatar. Home of club team Al-Wakrah, the stadium has a capacity of 44,325 spectators.
The match between Australia and South Korea in the AFC Asian Cup is set to kick off at 3:30 PM UK time, 6:30 PM local time in Qatar.
Those looking to tune in from the UK can catch every AFC Asian Cup match by signing up for TrillerTV+. Australia based viewers can catch the action live on the country's free-to-air Network 10 as well as through 10 Play and Paramount+ if looking to stream the game.
The winner of the quarter-final matchup between Australia and South Korea in the AFC Asian Cup will move on to a semi-final meeting with either Tajikistan or Jordan. With rankings of 106th and 87th, respectively, it's safe to say the winner of Australia vs South Korea will be overwhelming favorites to make it to the AFC Asian Cup Final.
Japan are the current record holders of the AFC Asian Cup with four titles to their name, the most recent of which came in 2011. South Korea have two AFC Asian Cups (the most recent coming way back in 1960), while Australia's only title in this competition came in 2015.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.