Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Saturday’s A-League action kicks off at the Go Media Stadium with Auckland FC taking on Melbourne Victory. The Black Knights are second in the league standings, while the Big V are in fourth place after 23 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Auckland missed a golden opportunity to cut the gap to league leaders Newcastle Jets last weekend when they were held to a frustrating 1-1 draw by Adelaide United on the road.
The Black Knights have now won just one of their last four league games (D2 L1), a disappointing run of results after winning three of their previous four in the top flight since the end of January.
The hosts are winless in their last two home games and have earned 18 points from 11 games at Go Media Stadium this term. They were also beaten 2-0 by this opponent at this venue last season.
Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory also missed out on their chance to pull within three points of the top two last weekend, as they suffered an against-the-odds defeat at home to Wellington Phoenix.
That result brought an end to the Big V’s seven-match unbeaten run in the top flight (W4 D3) and marked the first time that they failed to score in a league match since February 1.
However, the visitors are still unbeaten in their last three away games (W2 D1) and scored two or more goals in each of those matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.06 | 3.8 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.8 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.86 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.7 | 2.64 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.28% for a win of Auckland FC against Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory is 25.62% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auckland FC Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 38.28% | 2.4 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.53% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auckland FC | 15.78% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Form
Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
42 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +13 |
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
17 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
Auckland FC against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Woud
MidfielderJ. Mitchell
F. Mckenlay
L. Rogerson
V. Fitzharris
C. Howieson
J. Bidois
J. Duncan
DefenderL. Jackson
A. Traore
L. D'Arrigo
O. Dragicevic
R. Piscopo
N. Vergos
Most goals and assists
Auckland FC
Melbourne Victory
S. Cosgrove
(12 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
J. Randall
(8 Assists)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Seven of Auckland’s last 10 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Auckland have scored two or more goals in four of their last six matches.
- Auckland have scored in every home league game this season.
- Seven of Melbourne Victory’s last eight matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in each of their last three away games.
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Our Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Auckland are installed as favourites in this clash, but they have not been at their best of late, winning only one of their last four league matches, while conceding twice in each of their last two home games.
Melbourne Victory have been one of the form teams in the second half of this season, but they have struggled to keep clean sheets, with their last shutout in the top flight coming on January 26 against Sydney at home. Therefore, our Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auckland FC Melbourne Victory
| Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 2.07 | 2.4 | +15.9% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 3.35 | 3.25 | -3.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auckland FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.3% and is now 41.7% (-6.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
