Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
Auckland and Melbourne Victory will face off in the second leg of their A-League semi-final at the Go Media Stadium on Saturday. The winner of this tie between the Black Knights and the Big V will take on either Melbourne City or Western United in the final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Auckland are on course to make their first season in the top flight even more memorable, having won the first leg of this tie 1-0 at AAMI Park last week.
Logan Rogerson scored the only goal of the match in the 64th minute, while a solid defensive effort saw the Black Knights not allow their opponents a single shot on target.
The hosts now return to the Go Media Stadium, where they are unbeaten in their last eight games and have only lost a single league match all season (W8 D4 L1).
Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory will be kicking themselves for not taking more from the first leg, having dominated possession throughout the match but failed to create any clear-cut chances.
That defeat ended the Big V’s three-match unbeaten run, which extended back to mid-April when they lost to this same opponent 2-0 at home.
However, the visitors are on a three-match win streak on the road and have scored two or more goals in each of their last four outings, something they will need to do again in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.6 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.38 | 3.41 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2025 between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.85% for a win of Auckland FC against Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.05 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory is 30.27% with odds of 3.68 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auckland FC Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 47.85% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.03% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auckland FC | 19.85% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Form
Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
31 Jan 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
9 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
Players list
A. Paulsen
DefenderH. Sakai
D. Hall
N. Pijnaker
F. De Vries
MidfielderL. Rogerson
L. Verstraete
F. Gallegos
ForwardM. Francois
J. Randall
G. May
J. Duncan
DefenderR. Miranda
L. Jackson
J. Rawlins
MidfielderJ. Valadon
R. Teague
Z. Machach
C. Santos Rodrigus
ForwardN. Velupillay
D. Arzani
B. Fornaroli
Substitutes
M. Woud
DefenderC. Elliot
T. Smith
MidfielderN. Moreno
J. Brimmer
C. Howieson
ForwardL. Gillion
D. Graskoski
DefenderL. Didulica
J. Inserra
MidfielderA. Badolato
ForwardJ. Reec
R. Piscopo
N. Vergos
Most goals and assists
Auckland FC
Melbourne Victory
G. May
(9 Goals)
, 
N. Moreno
(9 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Velupillay
(7 Goals)
F. De Vries
(8 Assists)
Z. Machach
(6 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(6 Assists)
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Nine of Auckland’s last 15 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in five of Auckland’s last six home games.
- Auckland have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven home games.
- Eight of Melbourne Victory’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in each of their last four away games.
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Our Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
While Auckland came away from the first leg with a clean sheet, they will know that shutting out their opponents in this match will be much tougher, given that Melbourne Victory have to force the issue in this match.
The Big V dominated the game for large spells in the first leg, and while they may still go on to lose this tie, we feel that they will be able to find the back of the net at least once in this match. Our Auckland vs Melbourne Victory prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auckland FC Melbourne Victory
| Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 2.1 | 2.05 | -2.4% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auckland FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 48.8% (1.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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