Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Auckland FC
23/01/2026 23:00
Central Coast Mariners

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Saturday’s A-League action kicks off at the Go Media Stadium with Auckland FC taking on Central Coast Mariners. The Black Knights lead the league standings, while the Mariners are in 11th place after 13 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Auckland FC have been stuttering in recent weeks, and after losing to Melbourne City on the road last weekend, there are now just three points separating the top four teams in the standings. 

The Black Knights have now dropped eight points in their last four league games (W1 D1 L2), which is a point more than they dropped across their first nine games of the season (W6 D2 L1).

The hosts have taken 10 points from their six home games this term (W3 D1 L2) and have failed to keep a clean sheet at the Go Media Stadium since the end of October. 

Meanwhile, Central Coast Mariners managed to move off the foot of the table last week when they salvaged a 1-1 draw at home against Macarthur, thanks to a Sabit James Ngor goal in the 77th minute.

The Mariners have now won just one of their last nine league games since late November, conceding two or more goals in seven of those matches, while only scoring seven. 

The visitors have won two and lost four of their six away games this season and held this opponent to a 2-2 draw in this fixture last term. 

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Auckland FC v Central Coast Mariners Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.29 5.2 9
Melbet
1.31 5.75 8.5
Betwinner
1.31 5.85 8.2
Bet365
1.27 5.5 8.5
Roobet
1.3 5.2 8.6
Check all Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Auckland FC and Central Coast Mariners?

Our prediction for the Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2026 between Auckland FC and Central Coast Mariners in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.04% for a win of Auckland FC against Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.32 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners is 15.31% with odds of 5.85 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland FC with odds of 10 at LSbet.

Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners Prediction and Best Odds:

Auckland FC Central Coast Mariners Prediction Probability Odds
Auckland FC wins 61.04% 1.32 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 65.95% 1.63 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time / Full-time : Auckland FC/Auckland FC 25.8% 1.85 at LSbet

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Form

Auckland FC and Central Coast Mariners's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Auckland FC
42 26 11 9 6 +13
9 Central Coast Mariners
32 26 8 8 10 -7

Auckland FC and Central Coast Mariners Last Matches

Auckland FC
Auckland FC Last matches
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  1
Auckland FC

9 Jan 2026 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  2
Auckland FC

5 Jan 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  1
Auckland FC

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  3
Newcastle United Jets

19 Dec 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC
W W D L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  3
Newcastle United Jets

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
3 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

1 Nov 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Western Sydney Wanderers
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  1
Auckland FC

9 Jan 2026 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  2
Auckland FC

5 Jan 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  1
Auckland FC

19 Dec 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Auckland FC
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners Last matches
L L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC

6 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Sydney

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne City

2 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
3 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Auckland FC

67 %

Draw

33 %

Central Coast Mariners

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

28 Dec 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  4
Auckland FC

Auckland FC against Central Coast Mariners Lineups: Starting 11

Auckland FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Woud
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
23
D. Hall
4
N. Pijnaker
15
F. De Vries
6
L. Verstraete
8
F. Gallegos
77
L. Brook
10
G. May
21
J. Randall
9
S. Cosgrove
10
M. Di Pizio
23
O. Lavale
72
A. Auglah
26
B. Tapp
8
A. McCalmont
48
C. Donnell
5
L. Mauragis
2
J. Donachie
24
D. Herrington
15
S. Roux
30
A. Redmayne

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Central Coast Mariners

Substitutes

Auckland FC
Auckland FC
Goalkeeper

O. Sail

Defender

C. Elliot

F. Gallegos 90'

Midfielder

L. Rogerson

S. Cosgrove 84'

J. Brimmer

G. May 81'

C. Howieson

Forward

M. Francois

J. Girdwood-Reich 90'

J. Bidois

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
Goalkeeper

D. Peraic-Cullen

Defender

N. Paull

D. Herrington 74'

Midfielder

W. Kennedy

A. McCalmont 90'

J. Sabit

M. Di Pizio 62'

H. Eames

Forward

C. Theoharous

N. Blair

A. Auglah 62'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Auckland FC
CD Huachipato Central Coast Mariners
Top Goalscorer
England S. Cosgrove (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Sabit (6 Goals)
Best assists
New Zeland J. Randall (8 Assists)
Best assists
Australia M. Di Pizio (4 Assists)

Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners Key Points

  1. Four of Auckland’s last five home games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Auckland have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 league games.
  3. Six of the Mariners’ last seven games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. The Mariners have conceded three or more goals in each of their last four away games.
  5. All three league games between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

While Auckland are still leading the league standings, they have been leaking goals lately and have not kept a clean sheet at home since their first match at Go Media Stadium this season. 

Central Coast Mariners have managed 16 goals this season but have conceded 21, which is the third-most in the division. The three matches between these sides since Auckland joined the league have averaged four goals per game, and we’re expecting something similar in this one. Our Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners prediction is more than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auckland FC Central Coast Mariners

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Auckland FC wins 1.44 1.32 -8.3%
Draw 4.2 5.85 +39.3%
Central Coast Mariners wins 6 10 +66.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Auckland FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 75.8% (6.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction