Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Cup

Scotland - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
18/01/2026 12:30
Celtic

Prediction :

 

Less than 5.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

A classic David-and-Goliath encounter headlines our screens this Sunday as Auchinleck Talbot and Celtic FC battle it out at Rugby Park in the fourth round of the Scottish FA Cup. Here's our match prediction. 

Auchinleck Talbot are appearing in the fourth round of the Scottish FA Cup for the fourth time. Their last appearance at this stage was in 2022 when they succumbed to a 5-0 defeat against Heart of Midlothian. 

Since that moment, the West of Scotland League Premier Division hosts have fallen short of the fourth round in the previous three editions — until now.

The Bot's began their campaign in the qualifying round, beating Haddington 4-0. After that, they had no trouble seeing off the threat of Cumnock Juniors (2-1), Gretna 2008 (3-1), and Dumbarton (4-0) in the following rounds.

Celtic are playing catch-up in the Scottish Premiership this season. The club entrusted Wilfried Nancy to lead them to greener pastures following Brendan Rodgers' dismissal. 

However, Nancy's tenure proved disastrous for four weeks. He lost six of his eight games in charge (W2). Martin O'Neill is the man in charge at the moment, temporarily, and the ship has steadied.

The Bhoys have won two consecutive league games against Dundee United and Falkirk without conceding a goal. The 42-time Scottish Cup champions will want to build on this momentum and progress beyond the fourth round for the 20th consecutive time.

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Auchinleck Talbot v Celtic Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
90 13.5 1.02
Melbet
29 15 1.04
Betwinner
29 15 1.04
Bet365
51 26 1.01
Roobet
35 15 1
Check all Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Auchinleck Talbot and Celtic?

Our prediction for the Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic match is: less than 5.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Auchinleck Talbot and Celtic in Scottish Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.73% for a win of Auchinleck Talbot against Celtic with odds of 90 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic is 0.55% with odds of 40 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Celtic vs Auchinleck Talbot with odds of 1.04 at Melbet.

Auchinleck Talbot - Celtic Prediction and Best Odds:

Auchinleck Talbot Celtic Prediction Probability Odds
Celtic wins 52.72% 1.04 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 75.06% 1.07 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 52.38%
Half-time / Full-time: Celtic/Celtic 31.52% 1.11 at LSbet

Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic Form

Auchinleck Talbot and Celtic Last Matches

Auchinleck Talbot
Auchinleck Talbot Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Cup

Dumbarton
0 :  4
Auchinleck Talbot

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
3 :  1
Gretna 2008

26 Sept 2025 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
2 :  1
Cumnock Juniors FC

26 Oct 2024 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
0 :  1
Broxburn Athletic

28 Sept 2024 - Scottish Cup

Albion Rovers
1 :  2
Auchinleck Talbot

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Auchinleck Talbot
5 :  0
Thorniewood United FC
L W L W W
Wins

3/5 (60%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Losses

2/5 (40%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.4 Total goals
40% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.4 Goals conceded
80% Over 2.5
20% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
3 :  1
Gretna 2008

26 Sept 2025 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
2 :  1
Cumnock Juniors FC

26 Oct 2024 - Scottish Cup

Auchinleck Talbot
0 :  1
Broxburn Athletic

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Auchinleck Talbot
5 :  0
Thorniewood United FC

14 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Auchinleck Talbot
0 :  4
Kilmarnock
W W W
Wins

3/3 (100%)

Draw

0/3 (0%)

Losses

0/3 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Cup

Dumbarton
0 :  4
Auchinleck Talbot

28 Sept 2024 - Scottish Cup

Albion Rovers
1 :  2
Auchinleck Talbot

10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Kilwinning Rangers
1 :  3
Auchinleck Talbot
Celtic
Celtic Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  1
Celtic

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Dundee United

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  3
Rangers

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  4
Celtic

21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Aberdeen
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Dundee United

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  3
Rangers

21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Aberdeen

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
Dundee FC
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  1
Celtic

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  4
Celtic

17 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
Celtic

14 Dec 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
3 :  1
Celtic

30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Celtic

Auchinleck Talbot - Celtic Key Points

  1. Auchinleck Talbot have seen each of their last eight Scottish FA Cup matches end with under 5.5 goals.
  2. Celtic FC have seen each of their last four matches across all competitions end with under 5.5 goals.
  3. Auchinleck Talbot have conceded 0.66 goals per game in this season's Scottish FA Cup.
  4. Celtic FC have seen 16 of their last 17 away matches across all competitions end with under 5.5 goals.
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Our Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic Prediction

Auchinleck Talbot have won their last four matches in the Scottish Cup. Indeed, they are riding high on momentum, but those wins came against teams on their level. Facing a Scottish Premiership outfit and the most prominent club in this competition is a dream come true, but at the same time, an arduous task. 

Celtic are undoubtedly the superior side in this game. Several key players will be rested for this match, but their win shouldn't be doubted. A high-scoring affair is on the cards, but don't anticipate an exaggerated triumph. Our Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic FC prediction: less than 5.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 5.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auchinleck Talbot Celtic

Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Auchinleck Talbot wins 60 90 +50.0%
Draw 14 40 +185.7%
Celtic wins 1.03 1.04 +1.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Celtic is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 97.1% and is now 96.2% (-0.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Auchinleck Talbot vs Celtic Prediction