Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Prepare for a nailbiter on Sunday when Athletico Paranaense play host to a title-hungry Flamengo side in Matchday 16 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. While the home team is trying to close the gap on the top four, the visiting giants' clinical form of five wins in their last six league games has us backing Flamengo in this match prediction. Keep reading below.
The Furacão enters the weekend on 23 points, boasting a decent 7-2-6 record across their opening 15 matches. However, inconsistencies have started creeping into the home side, as highlighted by their run of only one win in their last six competitive games.
It’s been just as bad in the league alone, as Athletico Paranaense have lost four of their last seven games, recording only two wins. They recently lost to Vasco in the league before their 0-0 draw with Atletico-GO in the Copa Betano do Brasil.
In contrast, the Flamengo (2nd) travel to Curitiba on a brilliant run of form, sitting just four points off league leaders Palmeiras with a game in hand. Finding the back of the net has been standard practice for the Rubro-Negro, who boast the division's most goals (27) this season. Combined with the joint-fewest goals conceded (12), Flamengo are poised for the win.
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Atletico Paranense v Flamengo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.35 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.36 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.36 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Paranense and Flamengo?
Our prediction for the Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Atletico Paranense and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.65% for a win of Atletico Paranense against Flamengo with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo is 26.06% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Atletico Paranense with odds of 2.26 at Tonybet.
Atletico Paranense - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Paranense Flamengo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 41.29% | 2.26 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.78% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo | 19.11% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo Form
Atletico Paranense and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
37 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +19 |
|
3
|
36 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +9 |
Atletico Paranense and Flamengo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2023 - Copa do Brasil
5 Jul 2023 - Copa do Brasil
7 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico Paranense against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Mycael
M. Soares
DefenderG. Leite dos Santos
C. Henrique de Jesus Passos
L. Pele
MidfielderChiqueti
K. Dudu
D. Rivas do Nascimento
J. Cruz
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno
Isaac
L. Caetano Silva
Andrew
D. Alves
DefenderVitao
Emerson
A. Lucas
Luiz Felipe
W. Yan
ForwardEverton
B. Pinto
Missing players
A. Garcia
G. de Arrascaeta
E. Pulgar
Most goals and assists
Atletico Paranense
Flamengo
K. Viveros
(12 Goals)
Pedro
(12 Goals)
G. Benavidez
(5 Assists)
S. Lino
(7 Assists)
Atletico Paranense - Flamengo Key Points
- Athletico Paranaense have lost four of their last seven games.
- Flamengo boast the fewest goals conceded this season (12).
- Flamengo have scored the most goals this season (27), averaging nearly 2 goals per match.
- The visitors have won three of their last four league matches heading into Round 16.
- Flamengo have won their last three away games.
- Flamengo have won five of their last six league games.
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Our Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo Prediction
An away win for Flamengo over Athletico Paranaense at 2.15 odds is great value from where we’re sitting. Rubro-Negro boast the most goals scored, the fewest conceded, and the joint-most clean sheets this season. The Furacão are simply no match for this ruthless Flamengo side that has won five of its last six league games.
Additionally, the visitors travel with a blistering away form that has seen them win their last three games on the road. Hence, our Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo prediction is that Flamengo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Paranense Flamengo
| Atletico Paranense vs Flamengo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranense wins | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Flamengo wins | 1.96 | 2.26 | +15.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 44.2% (-6.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
