Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa do Brasil
Brazil - Copa do Brasil
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
After playing four of their last five matches away from home, Atletico-MG gets to return home. They will be hosting Gremio in the return leg of their Brazilian Cup semi-final, which they trail 2-0 from the first leg. Home form favors Atletico, and we will be backing them to progress in this prediction.
Each of these teams will have at least one player suspended for the return leg. Atletico will miss Cuello, who was booked in the first half.
The hosts will be banking on a strong run at home, having only lost once in the last 18 matches at home. They are coming off a 1-0 loss at Botafogo in Serie A, their fifth straight defeat, four of which were in away matches.
Gremio is among the teams Atletico have beaten at home this season. They lost their league game 3-0, their fourth defeat in five away matches at Atletico Mineiro.
The last time they visited in a Copa Brasil encounter, they won; that was back in 2016, and Gremio would want a repeat. However, they are on a poor away run and are set to miss the services of Gustavo Martins, who was sent off late in the first leg match.
In their last 10 encounters on the road, Gremio suffered six defeats. They are coming off a 3-1 away win at Flamengo in Serie A and will hope to regroup and recover fast.
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Atletico MG v Gremio Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.02 | 5.20 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.02 | 5.20 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.02 | 5.20 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.02 | 5.20 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Gremio?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Gremio match is: Atletico-MG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2026 between Atletico MG and Gremio in Copa do Brasil :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.95% for a win of Atletico MG against Gremio with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Gremio is 25.03% with odds of 4.02 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Atletico MG with odds of 5.4 at Betsson.
Atletico MG vs Gremio Form
Atletico MG and Gremio Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Oct 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
Atletico MG vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2026 - Copa do Brasil
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Gremio last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
G. Delfim
R. Assuncao
DefenderS. Lima Barros
P. Lemos Barbosa
Wanderson Jr
V. Hugo
MidfielderE. de Jesus Soares
Indio
Gutte
M. Ribeiro de Jesus
T. Beltrame
DefenderJ. Pedro
W. Leonardo
W. da Silva Santos
F. Balbuena
MidfielderB. Zortea
F. Krovinovic
J. Cabral
ForwardJ. Enamorado
M. Nascimento
F. Amuzu
Atletico MG - Gremio Key Points
- Atletico won eight of the last 10 home matches.
- Atletico have suffered one loss in 18 home matches.
- Gremio have suffered six defeats in the last 10 away matches.
- Atletico-MG have won four of their last five home games against Gremio.
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Our Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction
Gremio have the advantage from the first leg, but in the context of this fixture, that might not be sufficient to see them through. Three times in the last four meetings between these teams, hosted by Atletico-MG, the home side scored three goals.
Twice those went unanswered, and that includes their most recent. With Gremio struggling on the road, and Atletico being on a good run at home, this tie is still open. Based on recent form, our prediction for Atletico-MG v Gremio is that Atletico-MG wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
