Atletico MG vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Atletico-MG fell to a loss to São Paulo in its last league fixture. In contrast, 4th-placed Fluminense is unbeaten in five games, picking three wins and two draws. Now both teams will face off at the Arena MRV in the Brasileirão, and our Atletico-MG vs Fluminense match prediction is that both teams will score.
Tricolor nicked its third win in five games with a 1-0 victory over Vasco. The team has also found the net in its past five games, scoring ten goals. Now they will travel to an Atletico-MG side that, despite its last outing being a 2-0 loss to Sao Paulo, won three of five games prior, scoring nine goals.
All season, Galo has scored 32 league goals, eight fewer than Fluminense, who have 40 goals in 26 games. Fluminense, who won the last two H2H meetings between both sides, will aim for another victory when they meet on Saturday.
However, an Atletico MG that scored nine goals in its past six games will be confident they can score against Tricolor, which has only kept one clean sheet in the past five games. Both teams carry a potent threat in attack to threaten each other’s backline, so we expect the match to end in BTTS.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Atletico MG v Fluminense Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.08 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.31 | 3.50 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.26 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.26 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.26 | 3.62 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Fluminense?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Fluminense match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Atletico MG and Fluminense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.88% for a win of Atletico MG against Fluminense with odds of 2.21 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Fluminense is 52.66% with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Fluminense vs Atletico MG with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
Atletico MG - Fluminense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico MG Fluminense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 52.66% | 3.31 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 23.68% | 4.75 at 1xbet |
Atletico MG vs Fluminense Form
Atletico MG and Fluminense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
51 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | +9 |
|
6
|
50 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 |
Atletico MG and Fluminense Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Fluminense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores
24 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG against Fluminense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Assuncao
DefenderA. Preciado
R. Lodi
Lyanco
MidfielderM. Cisse
I. Gomes
A. Minda
Alexsander
G. Scarpa
Maycon
M. Cassierra
Dudu
Vitor Eudes
DefenderJ. Ribeiro Da Silva
Rene
MidfielderJ. Millan
M. Martinelli
Hercules
Ganso
K. Serna
R. Silva de Almeida
Wesley Nata
Missing players
V. Hugo
P. da Silva Campos
Indio
G. Cano
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Fluminense
T. Cuello
(5 Goals)
J. Kennedy
(9 Goals)
Bernard
(4 Assists)
Hulk
(6 Assists)
Atletico MG - Fluminense Key Points
- Galo scored nine goals in the five games before its recent 2-0 loss at Sao Paolo.
- Fluminense has scored 10 goals in its past five games.
- Atletico-MG has scored 32 goals in 25 games this season.
- Fluminense has scored 40 goals in 26 games this season.
- Tricolor has only kept one clean sheet in its past five games.
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Our Atletico MG vs Fluminense Prediction
Atletico-MG will be looking to get back to winning ways when it hosts 4th-place Fluminense on Saturday. The away side’s past five games show a scoring rate of 2.0 per game, and we expect them to find the net when they face Galo.
However, the home side is also scoring for fun and against a Fluminense side that has only one clean sheet in four games, they will aim to score a goal or two. Hence, our Atletico-MG vs Fluminense match prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico MG Fluminense
| Atletico MG vs Fluminense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico MG wins | 2.29 | 2.21 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.26 | 3.31 | +1.5% |
| Fluminense wins | 3.25 | 3.70 | +13.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.7% and is now 30.2% (-0.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
