Atletico MG vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

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Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
12/09/2026 15:00
Fluminense

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions

Atletico-MG fell to a loss to São Paulo in its last league fixture. In contrast, 4th-placed Fluminense is unbeaten in five games, picking three wins and two draws. Now both teams will face off at the Arena MRV in the Brasileirão, and our Atletico-MG vs Fluminense match prediction is that both teams will score. 

Tricolor nicked its third win in five games with a 1-0 victory over Vasco. The team has also found the net in its past five games, scoring ten goals. Now they will travel to an Atletico-MG side that, despite its last outing being a 2-0 loss to Sao Paulo, won three of five games prior, scoring nine goals.

All season, Galo has scored 32 league goals, eight fewer than Fluminense, who have 40 goals in 26 games. Fluminense, who won the last two H2H meetings between both sides, will aim for another victory when they meet on Saturday. 

However, an Atletico MG that scored nine goals in its past six games will be confident they can score against Tricolor, which has only kept one clean sheet in the past five games. Both teams carry a potent threat in attack to threaten each other’s backline, so we expect the match to end in BTTS.

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Atletico MG v Fluminense Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.16 3.2 3.3
1xbet
2.24 3.29 3.42
Melbet
2.23 3.24 3.36
Betwinner
2.24 3.24 3.34
22bet
2.22 3.24 3.38
Check all Atletico MG vs Fluminense odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Fluminense?

Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Fluminense match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Atletico MG and Fluminense in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.46% for a win of Atletico MG against Fluminense with odds of 2.24 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Fluminense is 52.53% with odds of 3.29 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Fluminense vs Atletico MG with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.

Atletico MG vs Fluminense Form

Atletico MG and Fluminense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Fluminense
45 26 12 9 5 +8
8 Atletico MG
36 25 10 6 9 +2

Atletico MG and Fluminense Last Matches

Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
D D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG
D D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  2
Bragantino

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  0
Gremio

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Juventude

21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Bahia
D W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino
0 :  1
Atletico MG

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  2
Atletico MG
Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
2 :  0
Platense

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
3 :  3
Fluminense

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Remo

18 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Independiente Rivadavia
1 :  1
Fluminense

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
2 :  0
Platense

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Remo

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

11 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
0 :  0
Independiente Rivadavia

5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Fluminense
1 :  3
Vasco Da Gama
D D D D D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
3 :  3
Fluminense

18 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Independiente Rivadavia
1 :  1
Fluminense

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  1
Fluminense

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  0
Fluminense

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Fluminense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Fluminense

Atletico MG vs Fluminense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico MG

33 %

Draw

0 %

Fluminense

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  0
Atletico MG

11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  2
Fluminense

25 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Atletico MG
2 :  0
Fluminense

18 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

24 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  2
Fluminense
Atletico MG vs Fluminense Prediction

Atletico MG vs Fluminense last Lineups

Atletico MG

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
G. Delfim
13
Lyanco
21
A. Franco
14
V. Hugo
23
A. Preciado
15
K. Castano
8
Maycon
6
R. Lodi
7
Fred
11
Bernard
9
M. Cassierra
7
Hulk
30
Y. Soteldo
10
Ganso
90
K. Serna
8
M. Martinelli
16
Nonato
6
Rene
29
J. Millan
3
T. Silva
23
Guga
1
Fabio

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fluminense

Substitutes

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Goalkeeper

R. Assuncao

Defender

Natanael

K. Pascini

Vitao

Midfielder

G. Scarpa

A. Minda

Reinier

I. Gomes

V. Hugo

M. Cisse

Alexsander

Forward

Dudu

Fluminense
Fluminense
Goalkeeper

M. Pitaluga

Defender

J. Fidelis

J. Freytes

G. Arana

I. Rabello

Midfielder

Hercules

J. Savarino

L. Acosta

Otavio

Forward

R. Castillo

R. Silva de Almeida

G. Cano

Missing players

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Midfielder

V. Hugo

Patrick

Indio

Fluminense
Fluminense
Midfielder

M. Martinelli

Forward

G. Cano

M. Reis

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico MG
CD Huachipato Fluminense
Top Goalscorer
Brazil V. Hugo (4 Goals) , 
Argentina T. Cuello (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Kennedy (9 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil R. Lodi (3 Assists) , 
Brazil Bernard (3 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Hulk (4 Assists) , 
Argentina L. Acosta (4 Assists)

Atletico MG and Fluminense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Fluminense
Fluminense
40%
Wins
46%
36%
Losses
19%
24%
Draws
35%
2.48
Average goals per match
2.77
1.28
Goals scored per match
1.54
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.23
52%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
24%
No goals conceded
19%
44%
BTTS
73%

Atletico MG - Fluminense Key Points

  1. Galo scored nine goals in the five games before its recent 2-0 loss at Sao Paolo.
  2. Fluminense has scored 10 goals in its past five games.
  3. Atletico-MG has scored 32 goals in 25 games this season.
  4. Fluminense has scored 40 goals in 26 games this season.
  5. Tricolor has only kept one clean sheet in its past five games.
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Our Atletico MG vs Fluminense Prediction

Atletico-MG will be looking to get back to winning ways when it hosts 4th-place Fluminense on Saturday. The away side’s past five games show a scoring rate of 2.0 per game, and we expect them to find the net when they face Galo. 

However, the home side is also scoring for fun and against a Fluminense side that has only one clean sheet in four games, they will aim to score a goal or two. Hence, our Atletico-MG vs Fluminense match prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.