Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid will be keen to arrest their recent slide of fortunes as they host European spot chasers Rayo Vallecano on Thursday in a La Liga Matchday 33 fixture. This match at Riyadh Air Metropolitano between the third-placed Rojiblancos and the 10th-placed Los Franjirrojos comes with our prediction of a home win.
With 63 points, the hosts have a six-point lead over Athletic Bilbao, while the visitors are only two points behind eighth place, which guarantees a Conference League play-off round from La Liga.
Atletico lost 1-0 at struggling Las Palmas last weekend, ending their two-game winning streak. The hosts need to improve their recent poor run, as they lost six and drew one of their last nine matches in all competitions.
Even their form at this venue has been poor recently, as Atletico lost three of their four recent home fixtures in all competitions.
Vallecano could still qualify eighth and thereby gain a place in Europe next year. That would need them to overturn their poor recent form, though. A 1-1 home draw against Valencia last matchday may have ended a two-game losing streak but only extended what has been a poor run of results.
Vallecano won only once in their last nine league games (D3, L5) and have also lost three of their four recent away fixtures in La Liga.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
1.48 | 4.33 | 7 |
|
![]() |
1.5 | 4.2 | 7 |
|
![]() |
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
![]() |
1.48 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
![]() |
1.54 | 4.23 | 6.99 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/04/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.54% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.54 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano is 23.86% with odds of 4.5 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
Atletico Madrid Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Atletico Madrid wins | 51.54% | 1.54 at 1xbet |
Under 2.5 | 59.16% | 2.04 at Vbet |
Both Team To Score | 55.83% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 23.23% | 2.4 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
![]() |
66 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 29 |
11
![]() |
41 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -7 |
Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists









Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Atletico won nine of their last 12 home matches in La Liga.
- Atletico Madrid won three of the last four La Liga matches against Rayo Vallecano.
- Vallecano lost two of their last three league fixtures.
- Away from home, Vallecano lost three of their recent four league trips.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Rayo Vallecano have only once ever participated in UEFA competitions, and they can add to that count, as eighth place is enough for a place in the Conference League. Atletico Madrid may have lost some momentum in recent weeks, crashing out of the Champions League and Copa del Rey. That leaves them with only the league to concentrate on, and that could see them get their business back on track. Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Atletico Madrid wins | 1.48 | 1.48 | 0% |
Draw | 4.1 | 4.33 | +5.6% |
Rayo Vallecano wins | 7 | 7 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 67.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings