Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Relegation-threatened Girona travel to Atletico Madrid this weekend in the Spanish La Liga. They come into the match in 15th place in the standings, whereas their hosts are in fourth place. Atletico's superb scoring form at home in La Liga forms the basis of our prediction in the goals market.
The hosts will be keen on a strong performance to alleviate a poor ending to the season. Atleti are set to end the season trophyless, yet just a few weeks ago, they looked destined for a historic campaign.
This match is much more about pride for Diego Simeone’s men. Los Rojiblancos have already qualified for the Champions League and cannot finish any lower than fourth.
With an 11-point cushion on their closest challengers with two games to play, Atleti are on 66 points thanks to 20 wins and six draws.
Girona have much more riding on this fixture and will be out for nothing less than a win. The White and Reds find themselves in the relegation zone due to an inferior goal difference.
They are tied with three other teams on 39 points and are the worst-off side. The visitors can move out of the regulation zone and place a two-point cushion with a win in Madrid.
They also have a game in hand on the other teams above them. Victory for Michel’s men in the capital, however, does not seem forthcoming given their recent run of form.
Girona, who drew 1-1 at Rayo last weekend, haven’t won in five games and have lost three times in this stretch.
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Atletico Madrid v Girona Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.96 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.9 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.95 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Girona?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Girona match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Girona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.67% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Girona with odds of 1.83 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Girona is 36.46% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
Atletico Madrid - Girona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Girona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 40.67% | 1.83 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.14% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 21.59% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Form
Atletico Madrid and Girona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
19
|
41 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 |
Atletico Madrid and Girona Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
1 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
1 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Girona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
S. Esquivel
J. Musso
DefenderJ. Bonar
R. Belaid
A. Puric
C. Lenglet
J. Morcillo
J. Diaz
ForwardT. Almada
I. Luque Sierra
M. Cubo
A. Sorloth
V. Krapyvtsov
R. Blanco
DefenderH. Rincon
D. Lopez
D. Blind
MidfielderF. Beltran
C. Echeverri
R. Artero Ruiz
D. van de Beek
T. Lemar
ForwardC. Stuani
Missing players
J. Gimenez
M. Llorente
N. Molina
MidfielderJ. Cardoso
B. Pablo
R. Mendoza
ForwardJ. Alvarez
Portu
A. Ruiz
V. Vanat
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Girona
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
V. Vanat
(9 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
V. Tsygankov
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Girona Key Points
- Girona's last five matches saw 13 goals scored.
- Atletico scored 3+ in five straight meetings with Girona.
- Atletico's last five league matches at home averaged three goals.
- Girona and Atletico have scored a combined 98 goals in 36 rounds.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction
Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Girona is for more than 2.5 goals. Atletico have nothing to play for but pride in this game, but Girona are fighting for survival. The hosts will turn up nonetheless, as this is their final home game of the season.
They will be looking for a spectacle to pull the curtains down, and facing one of the league’s worst teams is the perfect fixture. Girona cannot afford to drop points, and we should see them give Atleti’s shaky defence line problems.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Girona
| Atletico Madrid vs Girona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.83 | 1.83 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4.2 | +15.1% |
| Girona wins | 4.3 | 4.8 | +11.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 54.6% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
