Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao heads to Madrid for a La Liga game, looking to add to Atletico Madrid's poor run of form. Hosts Atletico start this round sitting fourth, while Bilbao are ninth, three points off European football slots. We have a prediction for the match below.
The past few weeks have presented a mixed bag for Atletico. On one end they were celebrating reaching the Champions League semis, and then they were stunned in the Copa Del Rey final.
Before they could recover, relegation-threatened Elche served them their ninth league loss of the season. They lost a 1-0 lead to fall 3-2 to Elche, a fourth straight league loss.
Athletic Bilbao will sense they can add to these woes, as Atletico are clearly swayed by an upcoming Champions League game. After posting just one win in seven matches, Athletic Bilbao returned to winning ways last time out, beating Osasuna 1-0.
That win is good enough to reignite their European hopes, and Athletic will be keen on that. Getting consistent results has been their major concern, though, and it has been a problem in away matches.
Athletic have managed just three of their 15 away matches in the league so far. Two of those were against the bottom two sides. They did beat Atletico in the reverse match, though, a 1-0 victory they’d love to replicate.
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Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.65 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.58 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.56 | 3.18 |
|
|
2 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.4% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.26 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao is 15.47% with odds of 3.72 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 48.4% | 2.26 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.84% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 60.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 19.47% | 3.2 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Esquivel Gamez
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
J. Bonar
R. Le Normand
N. Gonzalez
J. Cardoso
O. Vargas
R. Martinez Moya
J. Diaz
ForwardJ. Alvarez
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
A. Boiro
Y. Alvarez
A. Laporte
MidfielderO. Sancet
M. Vesga
E. Garcia
R. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
A. Berenguer
Missing players
J. Gimenez
D. Hancko
ForwardA. Lookman
T. Almada
B. Prados
M. Jauregizar
ForwardM. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Both teams scored in Atletico’s last four matches.
- Atletico scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- Athletic Bilbao scored in six of their last 10 games.
- Athletic haven’t kept a clean sheet in the last 10 away games.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
These two sides aren’t doing well in terms of getting the results they need. Atletico would wish to stabilize ahead of their Champions League engagements. On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao are seeking points to challenge for European football slots.
These targets require goals to be reached, and that’s why we feel both sides will go all out to attack. That and their recent stats mean we might see goals on either end. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao is – BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao
| Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.92 | 2.26 | +17.7% |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.72 | -3.1% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 4.27 | 3.75 | -12.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 44.2% (-7.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
