Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal have seemed stuck in recent weeks and will both look to rise again as they clash in La Liga. These two are 20 points apart; Villarreal placed third and Athletic 11th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
With these teams struggling of late, both managers have been under fire. At Athletic, Ernesto Valverde has overseen the team through four losses in the last five matches.
Los Leones were once again disappointing in their latest outing, a 2-0 defeat to Getafe. They have scored just twice in five, this form leaving them out of the Copa del Rey and six points off the top six.
Villarreal will not feel as much pressure, even though the Yellow Submarine have stagnated lately. With 13 points ahead of fifth-placed Betis, the visitors are all but assured of a top four slot.
They are coming off yet another disappointing outing, a 1-0 defeat away to Girona. That was their eighth loss of the season, and no team in the top five has lost as many.
Getting to play away from home has in the recent weeks not brought forth much comfort. They are on three defeats in the last five away matches. Their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture was only the second in 10 meetings with Athletic.
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Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.42 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.42 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.75% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Villarreal with odds of 2.14 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal is 24.73% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.74 at 888Starz.
Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 42.75% | 2.14 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.33% | 1.93 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Athletic Bilbao/Athletic Bilbao | 19.68% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Form
Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
13 May 2023 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderA. Boiro
A. Paredes
Y. Alvarez
A. Gorosabel
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
M. Vesga
ForwardN. Serrano
U. Izeta
R. Navarro
A. Berenguer
A. Tenas
DefenderR. Marin
W. Kambwala
A. Freeman
MidfielderA. Diatta
D. Parejo
G. Mikautadze
A. Moleiro
N. Pepe
A. Perez
A. Pedraza
Missing players
B. Prados
J. Foyth
L. Costa
MidfielderT. Partey
ForwardP. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Villarreal
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal Key Points
- Only two clean sheets were recorded in these teams’ last five meetings in Bilbao.
- Both teams scored in three of Athletic’s last five home games.
- Villarreal managed just one clean sheet in 10 away matches.
- Athletic Bilbao have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 outings.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Prediction
These two sides are struggling and will come here looking for more stability to their seasons. Hosts Athletic Bilbao will be more pressured as they look to win this and keep their European football hopes alive. The major area to improve on, they will know, is their defense.
Fortunately for them, Villarreal, who aren’t under much pressure, have been conceding a lot. The visitors, however, failed to score in just three of their last 10 away games. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Villarreal
| Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.23 | 2.14 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.6 | -3.7% |
| Villarreal wins | 3.35 | 3.74 | +11.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.8% and is now 46.7% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
