Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao are holding onto hopes for a European spot as they welcome Valencia, who are yet to secure their La Liga safety. Four rounds remain, and here predictions favor eighth-placed Athletic, who have dominated recent games against 12th-placed Valencia. Below is our match preview.
Athletic have started plans for next season, with a new manager coming on board. Players will be determined to give a good impression. The Lions are coming from a 4-2 win against Alaves, keeping their European football hopes alive.
In the last six home matches in La Liga, they won four, and this is a chance for Bilbao to record back-to-back clean sheets at home.
Valencia’s own targets for the season were hampered by a 2-0 loss at home against Atletico Madrid. That was their fourth defeat in the last seven league games.
Partly because of this run, Valencia remain just three points above the drop zone. Carlos Corberan’s men haven’t been great on the road either, winning just one of their latest five league games on the road.
They lost three of the said five games, and Los Che’s trips to the Basque Country haven’t been promising. In their last 15 away matches against teams from that region, Valencia failed to win any, losing seven.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Athletic Bilbao v Valencia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.71 | 3.75 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.82 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.84 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia match is: Athletic Bilbao wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.38% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Valencia with odds of 1.75 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia is 9.99% with odds of 3.99 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 52.38% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 2.01 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 26.18% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Form
Athletic Bilbao and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Valencia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderD. Vivian
J. Areso
A. Paredes
I. Lekue
A. Boiro
MidfielderU. Gomez
M. Vesga
U. Izeta
N. Serrano
A. Berenguer
I. Williams
C. Rivero
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderJ. Vazquez
R. Iranzo
U. Nunez
A. Almeida
F. Ugrinic
B. Santamaria
ForwardA. Danjuma
D. Raba
L. Ramazani
U. Sadiq
Missing players
B. Prados
D. Foulquier
M. Diakhaby
J. Copete
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
H. Duro
(10 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
L. Rioja
(6 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(6 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Key Points
- Valencia are winless in four of five away games, losing three.
- Athletic have won four of their last six league matches.
- Valencia lost five times in their last 10 league games.
- Athletic have won three of their last four meetings with Valencia.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction
This late in the season, these two sides still have a lot to play for here. For Athletic, the chance to earn a slot in Europe is here. On the other hand, Valencia need the points to move closer to survival.
Both sides have had tough seasons by their own standards, but here each will be giving their all for a win. Based on form and H2H numbers, this could go the home side’s way. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Valencia is that Athletic Bilbao wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Valencia
| Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.82 | 1.75 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.99 | +7.8% |
| Valencia wins | 4.3 | 5.5 | +27.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 57.1% (2.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
