Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Sociedad are eyeing a La Liga double against Athletic Bilbao, as the two prepare to face off in the Basque derby. Heading into the match, visiting Sociedad are placed eighth, while Athletic are 14th. Read on for our prediction.
Apart from bragging rights, the chase for European football will take on a bigger importance. Both sides haven't had great seasons, and Athletic find themselves eight points shy of the continental slots.
They are actually closer to the relegation zone, being only three points above the third-from-bottom side. Los Leones are coming off a 3-2 home loss to Sporting in the Champions League and are winless in five straight La Liga games.
Sociedad had three extra rest days, as this season they aren't in Europe. It so means they come here better relaxed and looking to pile the pressure on Athletic.
While they haven't had their ideal campaign, Sociedad are doing much better than their hosts. They’ve lost three less than Athletic and have three more points while going for an eighth unbeaten outing in all competitions.
In La Liga, a 3-1 win over Celta Vigo was their third straight victory. That and their recent run should fuel their pursuit of a league double. Txuri-Urdin are unbeaten in three away games and have lost only once in the last nine matches on the road.
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Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.27 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.12 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.04 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Sociedad wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.48% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.28 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad is 20.1% with odds of 3.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.86 at 888Starz.
Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 51.42% | 3.86 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.65% | 2.33 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 21.38% | 8.25 at LSbet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Form
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Monreal
A. Gorosabel
S. Sanchez
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
M. Vesga
ForwardR. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
A. Hierro
I. Williams
A. Fraga
DefenderA. Munoz
A. Elustondo
A. Odriozola
MidfielderB. Turrientes
Wesley
J. Ochieng
Y. Herrera
B. Mendez
J. Karrikaburu
O. Oskarsson
D. Diaz
Missing players
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardM. Sannadi
U. Marrero
DefenderI. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderT. Kubo
A. Zakharyan
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Six of Athletic Bilbao’s last 10 matches ended in defeat.
- Real Sociedad are coming off three straight wins in La Liga.
- Athletic Bilbao have lost four times in seven home matches.
- Real Sociedad are unbeaten in three away matches, winning twice.
- Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last two meetings with Athletic Bilbao.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Athletic Bilbao have seriously underperformed this season, and this will be another tough outing they have to contend with. Their busy schedule domestically and in Europe hasn’t helped for a team dealing with a lengthy injury list.
It has been an unforgiving period, yet here they face a well-rested rival, with bragging rights also on offer. Real Sociedad have been recording improvement and will want to grab this opportunity to seal a double. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad is that Real Sociedad wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad
| Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.03 | 2.28 | +12.3% |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.2 | -1.2% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 3.96 | 3.86 | -2.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.3% and is now 25.9% (0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
