Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
The chase for European slots is still on for Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna as the two sides face off in La Liga on Tuesday. One point stands between the two, with ninth-placed Osasuna on 39 points while Athletic are 11th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Athletic suffered their 15th league loss last time out, falling 2-1 to Athletic Bilbao, leaving them on 38 points off 31 matches. While Los Leones remain within striking distance of European football, their recent form hasn’t done them many favors.
The team has suffered four defeats in the last five league matches, and their last seven home league games haven’t returned a clean sheet.
Osasuna aren’t doing great either. They’ve managed just one win across their last six La Liga matches since February, a run of six matches that had three draws and two losses.
Defensively, they are also not at their best, recording just two clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Both teams scored in seven of those 10 outings.
The most recent of them was a 1-1 draw at home against Betis, which left Osasuna five points below the European football slots. Los Rojillos have been among the poorest performers away from home this season, winning just two of 16.
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Athletic Bilbao v Osasuna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.88 | 3.55 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.48 | 4.64 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.44 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.86% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Osasuna with odds of 1.92 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna is 23.68% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.64 at Melbet.
Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 40.46% | 4.64 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Osasuna | 20.1% | 9.25 at LSbet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Form
Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Athletic Bilbao against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
D. Vivian
A. Boiro
A. Paredes
MidfielderO. Sancet
M. Vesga
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
N. Serrano
R. Navarro
U. Izeta
A. Fernandez
D. Stamatakis
DefenderJ. Cruz
MidfielderM. Gomez
A. Bretones
R. Moro
I. Munoz
R. Garcia
K. Barja
I. Arguibide
Missing players
B. Prados
ForwardM. Sannadi
A. Catena
MidfielderA. Osambela
ForwardI. Benito
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna Key Points
- In four of Osasuna’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- In their last 21 matches, Athletic Bilbao kept no clean sheet.
- Osasuna scored at least once in eight of their last 10 games.
- Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Bilbao’s last 10 home games.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction
The chase for European football is the overriding stat as these two sides prepare to face off. However, we can’t overlook their performances, especially in defense. The reverse meeting ended goalless, but the two sides haven’t kept many clean sheets this season.
Athletic Bilbao have particularly been poor on that front. Their last clean sheet across all competitions dates back to before Christmas 2025. As Osasuna are also not at their best, we will base our bet on the goals market. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Osasuna is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Osasuna
| Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.91 | 1.92 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.6 | -0.6% |
| Osasuna wins | 4.65 | 4.64 | -0.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Osasuna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.5% and is now 21.6% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
