Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield in Europa League Predictions
Athletic Bilbao are going well in La Liga and could qualify for the Champions League through their league position. Winning the Europa League would also see them qualify and the Lions host Manchester United in the first leg of this semi-final. Read our match prediction below.
Bilbao are fourth in La Liga and as we will inform you later in this preview, they are in excellent form at present. They are playing in European competition for the first time since 2018 and have made a great impact. Can they reach the final and take on either Tottenham or Bodo/Glimt?
Manchester United have had a miserable season in the Premier League. They are 15th in the table but winning this competition will see them qualify for the Champions League. They are unbeaten on their Europa League travels this season and they will do all they can to return home to England with a good result. Can the Red Devils do that in their current form though is a major question.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.25 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.52 | 4.07 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United match is: Athletic Bilbao to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/05/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.28% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Manchester United with odds of 2.06 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United is 39.88% with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.07 at 1xbet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United Form
Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in their last ten home games with seven of those being won. The La Liga side have only lost one match in their last ten at all venues. That was at Real Madrid and it took a 93rd minute goal to secure the victory.
The Red and Whites finished second in the league phase of this competition. That was a place and a point ahead of their opponents in this semi-final. In the knockout stages, they have beaten Roma and Rangers. All six home games have been won with just two goals conceded.
United are still dreaming of the Champions League.
Manchester United have had a terrible time in this season's Premier League. But for a sub-standard bottom three, they could easily have been in a relegation battle. However, they have had a far more successful European campaign and could yet play in next season's Champions League.
The Reds are unbeaten in their 12 Europa League games this season but needed a last-gasp goal to get past Lyon in the last eight. On the road, United have won two out of six with the other four drawn.
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Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
N. Williams
L. Martinez
A. Heaven
M. De Ligt
MidfielderA. Diallo
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
Athletic Bilbao & Manchester United Squad Analysis
A major worry for Athletic Bilbao is the fitness of Nico Williams. He didn't play in the weekend's 1-0 win over Las Palmas. Williams has scored in four of Bilbao's last five home games in this season's Champions League.
Olhan Sancet is also a doubt for this match. He scored in the 2-0 home win over Rangers in the last round and has 15 goals to his name this season. An update is due to be given on their fitness on Wednesday.
Diallo may make his return for United.
Manchester United are likely to have Matthijs de Ligt back in their starting line-up for this trip to Bilbao. Arnad Diallo has scored some crucial goals this season and is another who could return to United's side on Thursday. Harry Maguire is not expected to play up front unless the situation really gets desperate.
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Manchester United
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(15 Goals)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(15 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United Stats in Europa League
Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao have won all of their home games in this season's Europa League.
- Athletic Bilbao have only lost one of their last ten matches in all competitions.
- Over 90 minutes, Manchester United have gone seven games without a win.
- Manchester United have gone two away Europa League games without a win.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United Prediction
Athletic Bilbao have won all of their home games in this season's Europa League. Only one match has been lost on home soil in this season's La Liga, so you can see how tough a task Manchester United have in this Europa League semi-final first leg.
United are yet to lose a Europa League match but that record was nearly ended in the quarter-final against Lyon. They continue to struggle domestically and our main Athletic Bilbao v Manchester United prediction is Athletic Bilbao to win.
Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have the most goals scored
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Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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