Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Europe chasing Espanyol travels to inconsistent Athletic Bilbao on Monday to wrap up matchday 17 of the Spanish La Liga. Seven points separate the two in the standings, with Espanyol currently in fifth coming into the weekend and Bilbao in eighth. Below is our prediction for the match.
Athletic Club haven’t found their footing this season and, with 17 games played, have lost more fixtures than they've won or drawn. Ernesto Valverde’s men, who’ve won seven games, have seen their form sputter.
They have won just three of their last eight games, losing three times. A lack of goals has precipitated their struggles. The Lions, who’ve failed to score in four of their last eight games, needed extra time to defeat Ourense 1-0 in the Copa del Rey last time out.
As Bilbao have tapered off in recent weeks, Espanyol have been one of the form teams in Spain. Manolo Gonzalez’s men have won seven of their last 10 games, which is their best run of results this season.
The Catalan outfit, currently on a two-match winning run, defeated Getafe away from home by a solitary goal last weekend. Espanyol, who’ve played one less match than their hosts, have won nine of 16 games and have accumulated 30 points.
They sit five points above their closest challengers and four points off the Champions League places.
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Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.45 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.32 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.3 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.3 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/12/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.41% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Espanyol with odds of 1.94 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol is 12.77% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Espanyol Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 46.41% | 1.94 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 64.64% | 2.28 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 71.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 29.29% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol Form
Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
46 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
17 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
4 Sept 2022 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Espanyol Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Monreal
J. Areso
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
S. Sanchez
M. Vesga
ForwardN. Serrano
U. Izeta
R. Navarro
G. Guruzeta
P. Tristan
A. Fortuno
DefenderJ. Salinas
C. Riedel
M. Rubio
MidfielderF. Gomez Gomez
R. Sanchez
J. Hernandez
ForwardJ. Carreras
L. Koleosho
K. Garcia
A. Roca
Missing players
A. Laporte
Y. Alvarez
D. Vivian
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardM. Sannadi
J. Puado
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Espanyol
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
K. Garcia
(8 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
E. Exposito
(6 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol Key Points
- Bilbao haven’t scored more than one goal a game in five consecutive fixtures.
- In their last four outings, Espanyol have kept three clean sheets.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between these sides saw under 2.5 goals scored.
- Dmitrovic and Simon have achieved a combined 12 clean sheets.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol Prediction
Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol is for less than 2.5 goals. This fixture has seen a low-scoring outcome recently, and with each team’s recent runs, we expect the same. Though Espanyol arrive for this clash in fine form, they haven't been particularly impressive in attack.
The key to their success has been defensive robustness. Their hosts also have a similar trajectory, especially when it comes to scoring. Goals have been few and far between for Bilbao. It is also important to remember that both teams have kept a combined 12 clean sheets in the league.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Espanyol
| Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.82 | 1.94 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.5 | -6.4% |
| Espanyol wins | 5.07 | 4.9 | -3.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 51.5% (-3.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
