Athletic Bilbao vs Elche Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao’s chase for European football sees them go head-to-head with relegation-threatened Elche next in La Liga. This match finds hosts Athletic in ninth spot while Elche are 16th. Read on for our prediction.
It hasn’t been a great season for Athletic, but the past few weeks have brought some hope at Estadio San Mames. For the first time since the early stages of the season, Athletic stands a chance to win three straight league matches.
They are coming from a 2-1 win at Real Oviedo, which also marked their third win in four matches. Los Leones start this game four points behind European slots, but 20 of their 31 points have come in home matches.
Elche have only collected four points in their away matches this season. That was from a possible 33. It then follows that this will constitute a tough outing for the visitors.
Their recent form hasn’t been great either, as they come here winless in eight games. It even got worse in their latest outing as Elche failed to score for the first time in 13 games.
They played out a 0-0 draw with Osasuna, dropping points in a home match. In their last seven league encounters, Los Franjiverdes have managed just three points. Each of their last three away fixtures ended in defeat.
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Athletic Bilbao v Elche Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.7 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
|
|
1.7 | 3.72 | 5.05 |
|
|
|
1.7 | 3.72 | 5.05 |
|
|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5.25 |
|
|
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1.67 | 3.8 | 5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Elche?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Elche match is: Athletic Bilbao wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Elche in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.47% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Elche with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Elche is 27.38% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Elche vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Athletic Bilbao - Elche Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Elche Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 45.47% | 1.76 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.54% | 1.88 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 22.4% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Elche Form
Athletic Bilbao and Elche's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
15
|
43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 |
Athletic Bilbao and Elche Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Elche Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
11 Sept 2022 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
22 May 2021 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Elche Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
A. Paredes
I. Monreal
A. Boiro
A. Gorosabel
MidfielderS. Sanchez Camilo
M. Vesga
R. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
E. Garcia
I. Pena
DefenderA. Pedrosa
D. Affengruber
B. Sangare
J. Nwankwo Donald
F. Redondo
Y. de Santiago Alonso
M. Neto
G. Villar
ForwardA. Boayar Benaisa
R. Mir
Josan
Missing players
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
M. Jauregizar
ForwardA. Berenguer
N. Williams
M. Sannadi
H. Fort
MidfielderG. Diangana
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao - Elche Key Points
- Elche are winless in eight matches, losing five.
- Each of Elche’s last three away games ended in defeat.
- Athletic Bilbao won three times in their last four matches.
- 20 of Athletic’s 31 points so far came in home outings.
- Elche got only four of their 25 points on the road.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Elche Prediction
Athletic Bilbao have a golden opportunity for a rare chance in this game. They haven't won many back-to-back matches this season, but here they could win three straight league games for the first time since August. The fact that they are playing at home gives them even more of an edge.
Athletic have collected most of their points at home, while Elche have dropped most on the road. Elche are, in fact, the worst travelers in La Liga, being winless in away games so far. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Elche is that Athletic Bilbao wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Elche
| Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.76 | 1.76 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4 | -0.7% |
| Elche wins | 5.06 | 5.4 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.8% and is now 56.8% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche game

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.