Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Club continue their quest for European qualification in La Liga this weekend at home against Celta Vigo. With two matches left, Athletic are ninth in the table while Celta are sixth. Either end serves porous defences here, as Bilbao has one clean sheet in 2026 and Celta two wins in 15 outings, directing our prediction.
Athletic Club are struggling and are in danger of missing out on Europe next season. The Lions are four points off the seventh spot.
Bilbao have won just three of their last 12 fixtures across all competitions and are currently on a two-game skid. Ernesto Valverde’s men, who have racked up 44 points, lost 2-0 away to Espanyol last weekend.
Celta Vigo are also coming off a loss and are in, sort of, the same run of form as their upcoming hosts. The Sky Blues were on the end of a five-goal thriller against visiting Levante last weekend and saw a two-game winning streak snapped.
It was their sixth loss in the last eight outings. Celta had lost five in a row before back-to-back wins against Atletico Madrid and Elche.
They enter the weekend looking to add to their 50 points and secure a top-seven finish. Claudio Giraldez’s men, who defeated Bilbao in the reverse meeting, are out of contention for the Champions League.
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Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.15 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.15 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.15 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.54% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.33 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo is 5.94% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
Athletic Bilbao - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Celta Vigo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 49.54% | 2.33 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.68% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Athletic Bilbao/Athletic Bilbao | 21.71% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Form
Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
20 May 2023 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
A. Boiro
A. Paredes
I. Lekue
MidfielderS. Sanchez
A. Rego Mora
M. Vesga
ForwardR. Navarro
N. Serrano
U. Izeta
M. Sannadi
I. Villar
DefenderO. Mingueza
A. Nunez
M. Fernandez
M. Ristic
J. Aidoo
MidfielderH. Sotelo
H. Alvarez Antunez
J. El-Abdellaoui
M. Vecino
P. Duran
I. Aspas
Missing players
D. Vivian
U. Egiluz
MidfielderO. Sancet
B. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
C. Starfelt
MidfielderM. Roman Gonzalez
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Celta Vigo
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Celta Vigo Key Points
- Bilbao have kept just one clean sheet in 2026.
- Celta have conceded in all but two of their last 15 games.
- Bilbao and Celta have scored a combined 91 goals in the league.
- Five of the last six matches between Celta and Bilbao saw both teams score.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo is BTTS. Celta and Bilbao are both looking at securing qualification for Europe next season. Two matches remain for the two to complete their quests, and we expect a high-octane battle in this fixture.
Goals have dried up recently for Bilbao, but they remain one of the more potent sides in the Spanish La Liga. They have scored 40 goals thus far, while their visitors have managed 51. Defensively, though, the two sides have struggled immensely, and this is why we expect to see both teams on the scoresheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Celta Vigo
| Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.85 | 2.33 | +25.9% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 3.3 | -15.8% |
| Celta Vigo wins | 4.53 | 3.58 | -21.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 42.9% (-11.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
