Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona are set to face off in La Liga as both come to terms with their Copa del Rey exits. Placed ninth, Athletic will be looking to close in on the top six, while league leaders Barcelona hope to stretch away. Read on for our prediction of this match.
In their Copa return leg, Athletic failed in the bid to overturn a home loss against Real Sociedad. A 1-0 defeat ended their participation in the cup, and now they have a top four slot to fight for.
They are 16 points adrift of the top four, though, with 12 games remaining. There has been some improvement in their league performances, Los Leones winning three of the last four games.
Barcelona are coming off a big win, which meant so little in the end. They thrashed Atletico Madrid 3-0 in their Copa del Rey semi-final return leg.
Having lost 4-0 in the first meeting, they fell short and are effectively dethroned in the competition. They still have at least two avenues for silverware, and this game happens to lead them there.
Barcelona opened a four-point gap in the La Liga standings after beating Villarreal 4-1. Heading into the third meeting with Athletic this season, they will be gunning for a third straight league win. Barca won both earlier matches, scoring nine goals and keeping clean sheets.
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Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.7 | 4.3 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.58 | 4.28 | 1.66 |
|
|
4.48 | 4.3 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.3 | 1.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona match is: Barcelona to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.58% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Barcelona with odds of 4.86 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona is 11% with odds of 4.51 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.7 at 888Starz.
Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 58.43% | 1.7 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.26% | 1.49 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 71.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Barcelona/Barcelona | 23.36% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Form
Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
94 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 |
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
8 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
I. Monreal
I. Lekue
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderO. Sancet
M. Vesga
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
ForwardR. Navarro
N. Serrano
E. Garcia
G. Guruzeta
D. Kochen
W. Szczesny
DefenderR. Araujo
A. Cortes Moyano
MidfielderT. Marques
Pedri
R. Bardghji
F. Lopez
X. Espart Font
ForwardRaphinha
R. Lewandowski
Missing players
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
M. Sannadi
M. ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
J. Kounde
A. Balde
MidfielderF. de Jong
Gavi
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
F. Torres
(16 Goals)
,
L. Yamal
(16 Goals)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
L. Yamal
(11 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Key Points
- In Athletic Bilbao’s last nine league matches, both teams scored.
- Barcelona conceded at least once in six of their latest 10 matches.
- Athletic Bilbao failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 straight Liga matches.
- Barcelona’s away form has both teams scoring in five of the last six.
- Barcelona have won all of their last five meetings with Athletic Bilbao.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction
Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona is for Barcelona to win and BTTS. While Athletic Bilbao have impressed in their recent league matches, there is a possibility they will struggle here. The hosts haven't managed a win against Barcelona in their last 18 meetings.
In this period, they lost 13 times, including five in a row ahead of this game. In their two meetings already this season, Barcelona scored nine times without conceding. That stat to do with goals is what we feel might change here. Athletic have been in good scoring form in La Liga and are likely to get on the score sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Barcelona
| Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 4.85 | 4.86 | +0.2% |
| Draw | 4.55 | 4.51 | -0.9% |
| Barcelona wins | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 58.8% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
