Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Atalanta will be the next challenge for Serie A champions Napoli as both sides put their season’s targets on the line. For seventh-placed Atalanta, the ambition is to get into the European football slots, while Napoli are third, struggling in their title defence. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Atalanta’s four-match unbeaten run was brought to an end in midweek. They fell 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. That outcome also prevented them from registering a fourth straight win.
Home form should give them the confidence they need at this juncture, having won nine of the last 11 games they hosted.
Napoli won 3-2 on their last visit to Atalanta and made it two on the bounce with a 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture. Now they go into this encounter seeking a third straight win against La Dea, but the past few weeks haven't been really positive.
I Partenopei needed a late equalizer to avoid defeat against Roma last time out. The 2-2 draw, however, left them trailing league leaders Inter Milan by 11 points.
A limp title defence means they might have to settle on just contesting for a top four place. All of their five defeats in the league have come in away matches, though they’ve won all their last four away games against Atalanta.
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Atalanta v Napoli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.05 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.06 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.06 | 3.16 |
|
|
2.45 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.42 | 2.98 | 3.15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Napoli match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2026 between Atalanta and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.21% for a win of Atalanta against Napoli with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Napoli is 21.37% with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Atalanta with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
Atalanta - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 43.21% | 2.55 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.92% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atalanta/Atalanta | 20.74% | 4 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Napoli Form
Atalanta and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
Atalanta and Napoli Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
30 Mar 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
11 Mar 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Sportiello
F. Rossi
DefenderH. Ahanor
M. Bakker
O. Kossounou
L. Bernasconi
B. Djimsiti
Ederson
L. Samardzic
Y. Musah
ForwardG. Scamacca
D. Vavassori
A. Meret
N. Contini
DefenderM. Olivera
L. Spinazzola
B. Gilmour
V. Prisco
E. De Chiara
ForwardGiovane
M. Politano
R. Lukaku
Missing players
G. Raspadori
C. De Ketelaere
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Rrahmani
MidfielderF. Anguissa
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Napoli
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
Atalanta - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli’s five league losses this season came in away matches.
- Napoli are winless in six of their latest 10 away encounters.
- In the last 11 home matches, Atalanta posted nine wins.
- Atalanta won all their last four home Serie A games.
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Our Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction
Napoli’s poor season has them only fighting for the league title at this point. That too isn’t going well, and judging from their away-day performances, this could end in another loss. All their defeats this season in Serie A have come in away matches.
The league champions have put up a considerably weak defence and here they meet a side that has been strong at home. Atalanta have posted nine wins in their last 11 home matches. Our prediction for Atalanta v Napoli is that Atalanta wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Napoli
| Atalanta vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 2.38 | 2.55 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.18 | +4.3% |
| Napoli wins | 3.1 | 3.35 | +8.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 39.2% (-2.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
