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18 April 2024 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Europa League

Atalanta
VS
Liverpool

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Atalanta vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Ian John | in Europa League Prediction

Atalanta head into the second leg of their Europa League quarter-final tie with Liverpool in Bergamo with a deserved 3-0 lead from the first leg. The Italian side provided a masterclass of how to beat Liverpool at Anfield and earned their second successive win to nil at the home of the Reds following a 2-0 win back in November 2020. Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp will be hoping his misfiring team can be as clinical as they were on their last trip to Bergamo, when they thrashed Atalanta 5-0, just a few weeks before losing the aforementioned return game at Anfield. The winner of this tie will face either Benfica or Marseille in the semi-final.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
201 11 1.05
Betfred
4 4.6 1.7
Ladbrokes
4.2 4 1.61
NetBet
5.1 4.9 1.47
Check all Atalanta vs Liverpool odds
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Who will win the Atalanta vs Liverpool Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Atalanta and Liverpool of Europa League on 4/18/24 :

  • There is a probability of 40.64% ⭐ for Atalanta to win this match against Liverpool ⚽ with odds of 201 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 11 which implies a probability of 13.87%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Liverpool to win the match are about 1.7 at Betfred. That means a probability of 45.49%.

Atalanta - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta vs Liverpool prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Atalanta  is favoured to win40.64 %201
Draw13.87 %11
Liverpool wins the game45.49 %1.7

Atalanta vs Liverpool Form

Atalanta and Liverpool Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

15 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Atalanta

7 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Atalanta

3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Atalanta

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  2
Liverpool

4 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Sheffield United

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester United
4 :  3
Liverpool

Atalanta against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

67 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
0%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Nov 2020 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
Atalanta

3 Nov 2020 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  5
Liverpool
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Atalanta - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Atalanta have won just three of their last 11 games in all competitions, losing four and drawing four. However, their form in the Europa League has been impressive. Gian Piero Gasperini's team won six and drew three of their nine games so far, scoring 18 goals and conceding just six. The Bergamo-based team topped Group D with 14 points, finishing ahead of Sporting Lisbon. They then knocked Sporting out of the competition in the Round of 16, drawing 1-1 in Portugal before winning 2-1 at home. Atalanta followed up their famous win at Anfield with a 2-2 draw at home against Hellas Verona on Monday in the Serie A. The home side don't keep too many clean sheets, with just two shut-outs in their last 11 matches, both of which came away from home in wins against Napoli and Liverpool. 

It is fair to say that Liverpool need another miracle performance to come through this tie. Jurgen Klopp's team have been hugely wasteful in front of goal in the last few games and they are now without a win in three. They suffered a shock 1-0 home defeat to Crystal Palace at the weekend, marking the first time all season that Liverpool have lost two consecutive matches. The Reds have lost two of their four away games in the Europa League this season, but still topped Group E with 12 points, scoring 17 goals in their six group stage games. Last time out in the Europa League, the Reds put 11 goals past Sparta Prague over two legs. They will need a very similar performance here if they are to have any chance in this tie. No team has scored more goals in Europe than Liverpool this season and the away team will need those goals to stand any chance here.

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Atalanta against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
J. Musso
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
22
M. Ruggeri
7
T. Koopmeiners
59
A. Miranchuk
90
G. Scamacca
7
L. Diaz
18
C. Gakpo
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
17
C. Jones
8
D. Szoboszlai
26
A. Robertson
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Liverpool

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

E. Holm

S. Kolasinac

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

J. Matip

Midfielder

Thiago

Atalanta & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Atalanta manager Gian Piero Gasperini will be without two players through injury for the second leg as both defenders Giorgio Scalvini and Sead Kolasinac will miss the game with muscular injuries. No players are suspended for this match, but Berat Gjimshiti, Isak Hien, Emil Holm, Ademola Lookman and Marten de Roon are just one booking away from missing a possible semi final. Gianluca Scamacca, who scored a double at Anfield, is the man in form in front of goal for Atalanta with five goals in his seven Europa League games this season. 

Liverpool's injury crisis has improved in the past ten days or so. Joel Matip and Thiago are still not fit and won't play this season. Additionally, young fullback Connor Bradley is a doubt after being taken off injured against Crystal Palace last weekend. Stefan Bajcetic is closing in on a return to the first team, while Trent Alexander Arnold, Alisson Becker and Diogo Jota all made their return to action in the last week. Manager Jurgen Klopp has the luxury of a much stronger squad for this game. He'll need it given the huge task facing his Liverpool team here, and also with another tricky away game against Fulham coming up at the weekend. 

Atalanta - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Atalanta are unbeaten in the Europa League this season, scoring 18 goals and conceding six.
  2. No team in Europe has scored more than Liverpool's 128 goals in all competitions this season.
  3. Six of Liverpool's nine Europa League games have seen both teams score and seven have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Five of Atalanta's nine Europa League games have seen both teams score and the same number have seen over 2.5 goals scored too.
  5. The three previous matches between these two teams have generated 10 goals, an average of 3.33 per game.
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Our Atalanta vs Liverpool Prediction

This tie is surely over? Liverpool have made great comebacks at Anfield (v Barcelona) and in Istanbul (v AC Milan) but this looks a tougher prospect as it is away from home. However, a few years back, Liverpool won 5-0 in Bergamo and Jurgen Klopp's team are usually at their best when they are written off. Atalanta though were superb at Anfield and proved that they can carve Liverpool open. This is a game where the data suggests goals, but not really a specific result. So our prediction for Atalanta v Liverpool is for Over 2.5 Goals and for Both Teams to Score.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Atalanta vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Diogo Jota (Liverpool) to score at any time

Liverpool need goals and with Mo Salah and Darwin Nunez misfiring, they may well turn to Diogo Jota. The Portuguese star has arguably been their most clinical finisher this season. How long Jota could play for after returning from injury is unknown. But even if he starts on the bench, he is a good bet to come on and get a goal, especially with Liverpool substitutes contributing over 20 goals this season. So our second prediction for Atalanta v Liverpool is for Jota to score at any time.
Atalanta vs Liverpool Prediction

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Atalanta vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

An all-French team, led by referee Francois Letexier will be in charge of the action between Atalanta and Liverpool on Thursday night.

Cyril Mugnier and Mehdi Rahmouni will be his assistant referees and Pierre Gaillouste has fourth official duties at the Gewiss Stadium. Experienced official Jerome Brisard is on VAR duty, assisted by Willy Delajod.

You can view the Atalanta v Liverpool Europa League quarterfinal 2nd Leg tie live on TNT Sport this week in the UK.

However, if you don't have a subscription, you can follow all the action via text commentary and real-time data updates via the Livescore page for the Europa League at SportyTrader too. 

Atalanta produced a stunning display to upset Liverpool, who had previously been unbeaten at Anfield this season, securing a 3-0 victory in front of the stunned home fans. 

Harvey Elliott struck the bar and post for Liverpool with the game still 0-0. That was as good as it got for the home side who were guilty of wasteful finishing once again.

Gianluca Scamacca fired Atalanta in front in the first half. His shot going under the arms of the Reds keeper to put the visitors in front.

The ex-West Ham striker made it 2-0 on the hour mark, converting a De Ketelaer cross with a lovely controlled left foot finish past Kelleher. The Liverpool's defense left asking for an offside that never was. 

Late on Mario Pasalic forced home a rebound to put Atalanta 3-0 up. The visitors seemingly well on the way to a place in the semifinals.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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