Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
It has been an unusual start to the season for Atalanta in Serie A, and they will be crossing fingers for the better. They will welcome Lecce at the Gewiss Stadium, looking to finally get their campaign on the right footing after two winless outings. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Atalanta’s first two matches of the season produced draws, against Pisa and Parma. This means the home fans haven't experienced a win in the team’s last three matches.
It is concerning because these are matches Atalanta should have won, but home fans will be even more worried at the home form that reads just two wins in 12. With the Champions League starting soon, La Dea might want to get their act together fast.
Lecce have their own troubles at their level and will hope they can solve them as they prolong Atalanta’s. The visitors have two wins in the last six meetings with Atalanta, but there’s a feeling they’ve regressed after their close shave with relegation last season.
Lecce are yet to score in the league this season. Last time out they suffered a 2-0 defeat at home against AC Milan, their situation getting worse after the opening 0-0 draw with Genoa.
The visitors managed just four wins in their last 20 league matches on the road. In the last 10 visits to Atalanta, Lecce managed only one win, and once again they’ll be the underdogs here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.7 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Lecce match is: Atalanta to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Atalanta and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.36% for a win of Atalanta against Lecce with odds of 1.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Lecce is 37.51% with odds of 4.75 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Atalanta with odds of 9.5 at Unibet.
Atalanta - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 38.36% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.18% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
| Half-time: Lecce / Full-time: Atalanta | 14.61% | 21 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Lecce Form
Atalanta and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
|
16
|
6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
Atalanta and Lecce Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
12 May 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
18 May 2024 - Serie A
30 Dec 2023 - Serie A
19 Feb 2023 - Serie A
9 Nov 2022 - Serie A
Players list
M. Carnesecchi
DefenderG. Scalvini
I. Hien
O. Kossounou
R. Bellanova
MidfielderY. Musah
M. Brescianini
L. Bernasconi
ForwardD. Maldini
L. Samardzic
N. Krstovic
W. Falcone
DefenderD. Melo Veiga
Tiago Gabriel
K. Gaspar
A. Gallo
MidfielderK. N-Dri
L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
ForwardT. Morente
F. Camarda
S. Pierotti
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderL. Bernasconi
D. Zappacosta
B. Djimsiti
R. Obric
H. Ahanor
MidfielderY. Musah
L. Samardzic
M. Brescianini
H. Camara
D. Maldini
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderTiago Gabriel
N. Kovac
D. Melo Veiga
C. Ndaba
MidfielderS. Pierotti
K. N-Dri
T. Helgason
ForwardL. Banda
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
Missing players
S. Kolasinac
M. Bakker
MidfielderEderson
ForwardA. Lookman
G. Scamacca
G. Jean
M. Ignacio
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
B. Pierret
M. Kaba
H. Rafia
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Lecce
L. Samardzic
(2 Goals)
, 
K. Sulemana
(2 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(2 Goals)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Pasalic
(2 Goals)
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
D. Melo Veiga
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Sala
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Gallo
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Berisha
(1 Assists)
,
R. Sottil
(1 Assists)
Atalanta - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce won once in their last 10 visits to Atalanta.
- Atalanta posted five wins in the last 10 home games.
- Atalanta lost only twice in the last 10 league matches.
- In their last eight away league matches, Lecce won once.
- In three of these teams’ last four meetings, both scored.
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Our Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction
Both Lecce and Atalanta are desperate to get their seasons on track. Atalanta are coming off two straight draws to start their season. They carried into this season their trend of not keeping many clean sheets. In each of their last five league games, both teams scored.
Also both teams scored in three of their last four matches against Lecce. Despite this form in defence. Atalanta will still be the favorites here. Our prediction for Atalanta v Lecce is for Atalanta to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Lecce
| Atalanta vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.41 | 1.4 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Lecce wins | 7.5 | 8.5 | +13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.9% and is now 71.4% (0.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Atalanta vs. Lecce game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Atalanta and Lecce when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
