Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Serie A Predictions
Matchday 32 in the Italian Serie A sees a battle for European qualification as seventh-place Atalanta hosts fifth-placed Juventus. La Dea knocked the Old Lady out of the Coppa Italia in February, will we see a repeat performance on Saturday? Check out our match prediction!
It’s a tight race for the UEFA competitions in the 2025-26 Serie A. Atalanta enters the weekend sitting just one point behind sixth-place AS Roma for a Conference League spot, prior to the Giallorossi’s Friday kickoff against Pisa.
Juventus, meanwhile, hold a four-point lead over their opponents today and currently occupy a Europa League position. Juve are sure to have their sights set higher though, as they trail fourth-place Como by just a single point for an all-important spot in next season’s Champions League. The visitors did not have a good experience in their last trip to the New Balance Arena back in February as they were comprehensively beaten 3-0 in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals.
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Atalanta v Juventus Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.45 | 2.29 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.46 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.46 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.4 | 2.22 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Juventus?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Juventus match is: Atalanta or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Atalanta and Juventus in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.65% for a win of Atalanta against Juventus with odds of 3.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Juventus is 22.83% with odds of 3.59 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Juventus vs Atalanta with odds of 2.32 at Tonybet.
Atalanta - Juventus Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Juventus Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 46.65% | 3.3 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.91% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Juventus / Full-time: Atalanta | 20.24% | 29 at LSbet |
Atalanta vs Juventus Form
Atalanta and Juventus's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
69 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 |
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
Atalanta and Juventus Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Juventus Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 May 2024 - Coppa Italia
Atalanta - Juventus: Form Analysis
It’s been a season of adjustments for Atalanta after long-standing manager Gian Piero Gasperini departed for Roma. They would then sack replacement Ivan Juric after four months in charge, but look to have found some stability with Raffaele Palladino.
In fact, since the 41-year-old took over the reins, La Dea have been in fine form. They’ve won 12, drawn four and lost only four in his 20 Serie A matches in charge so far and are in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia.
Atalanta have a 12-4-4 record in the Serie A since appointing Raffaele Palladino in October.
In their last outing, Atalanta ran out 3-0 away winners over Lecce, marking their second win in a row across all competitions.
It’s been a similar arc for Juventus this season with the highly-lauded Luciano Spalletti taking over in late October. Fresh off of signing a new contract extension, the Italian has had a promising start to his Juve tenure, posting a 17-8-6 record across all competitions. This has the Bianconeri up to fifth in the standings and knocking on the door for the UCL.
Juventus are on a six-match unbeaten run across all competitions in 90 minutes (W4) after easing to a 2-0 home win over Genoa in their last appearance.
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Atalanta against Juventus Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
P. Pardel
M. Sportiello
DefenderO. Kossounou
R. Bellanova
M. Bakker
H. Ahanor
R. Obric
MidfielderY. Musah
L. Samardzic
M. Pasalic
S. Levak
ForwardG. Raspadori
G. Scamacca
C. Pinsoglio
R. Radu
DefenderF. Gatti
F. Miretti
E. Zhegrova
T. Koopmeiners
L. Openda
F. Kostic
J. David
A. Milik
Missing players
I. Hien
W. McKennie
Atalanta & Juventus Squad Analysis
Atalanta boss Palladino has almost a fully-fit squad to choose from. Only defender Isak Hien will miss out as he recovers from a thigh injury suffered in Sweden’s World Cup playoff victory against Ukraine back in March.
The heartbeat of the Atalanta attack over the last three seasons, Charles De Ketelaere will undoubtedly be one to watch out for in Saturday’s match. The former AC Milan player operates as one of the two attacking midfielders in Palladino’s 3-4-2-1 system.
De Ketelaere leads the team in big chances created (16) and ranks second in Serie A.
He’s trailing only Inter’s Federico Dimarco in this category. De Ketelaere provided two assists in a man-of-the-match performance in Atalanta’s most recent 3-0 win over Lecce.
Fresh off signing a contract extension at Juventus, Luciano Spalletti will be without four players for the trip to Bergamo. Striker Dusan Vlahovic has struggled through a stop-start campaign and a calf injury rules him out of contention here.
Goalkeeper Mattia Perrin was injured against Genoa, offering a shot at redemption for former first-choice keeper Michelle Di Gregorio after being dropped for poor performances a few months ago. Also missing out is the versatile and industrious Weston McKennie (suspension) as well as young midfielder Vasilije Adzic (ankle).
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Juventus
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
K. Yildiz
(10 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
W. McKennie
(7 Assists)
Atalanta - Juventus Key Points
- Juventus have won back-to-back away league matches only once since Spalletti took charge.
- Atalanta are 8-1-1 at home in the Serie A under Palladino.
- Atalanta won 3-0 at home the last time these two faced off (February 2026).
- Juventus have failed to beat Atalanta in their last four attempts in competitive fixtures (D2).
- The hosts have lost only once since the turn of the new year in the league (W9, D4).
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Our Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction
This could be a tight matchup between two teams that have largely been performing well under their current managers. We give the edge towards Atalanta as the more likely of the two to nick the full three points though.
Juventus have been up-and-down on their travels this season and they’ve struggled to get wins against this Atalanta side in particular. With the hosts performing exceptionally well on home soil, we’ll back the Nerazzurri to avoid defeat here. Our Atalanta vs Juventus prediction: Atalanta or draw.
Atalanta vs Juventus Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Juventus
| Atalanta vs Juventus | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 3.07 | 3.3 | +7.5% |
| Draw | 3.53 | 3.59 | +1.7% |
| Juventus wins | 2.46 | 2.32 | -5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.6% and is now 30.3% (-2.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
