Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
12/09/2026 13:45
Cagliari

Prediction :

 

Atalanta to win by a one-goal margin

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta lost their perfect Serie A start last time out but will be favorites at home against Cagliari. The two face off in the fourth round of matches, both having garnered six points. Atalanta are unbeaten in three home matches against Cagliari, a prediction we will also be putting across here.

Atalanta fell 2-1 to runaway leaders AS Roma last time out but will take pride in their performance in the game. La Dea breached the solid Roma defence for the first time this season but couldn’t hold on, succumbing to late drama.

The eventful closure didn’t just see them concede twice in stoppage time but also ended in Gianluca Gaetano’s sending off. They hope to bounce back, with their two wins having come at home.

Cagliari didn’t have an eventful outing as Daniel Maldini’s goal settled their game against Lecce. A 1-0 win offered the needed relief as they recovered from two straight defeats – one in the Coppa Italia.

Cagliari’s matches have so far been tight, all settled by slim margins. They started off with a 1-0 win against Arezzo in the Coppa before beating Parma 1-0 then falling to Inter by the same margin.

When they beat Atalanta in their latest meeting, it was also by a single-goal margin, and we could be treated to the same here too.

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Atalanta v Cagliari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.59 4 5.8
1xbet
1.62 4.2 6.29
Melbet
1.56 4.04 6.05
Betwinner
1.56 4.04 6.05
22bet
1.56 4.04 6.05
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Cagliari?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Cagliari match is: Atalanta to win by a one-goal margin.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Atalanta and Cagliari in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.13% for a win of Atalanta against Cagliari with odds of 1.62 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Cagliari is 21.61% with odds of 4.2 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Atalanta with odds of 6.29 at 1xbet.

Atalanta vs Cagliari Form

Atalanta and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Atalanta
6 3 2 0 1 +1
9 Cagliari
6 3 2 0 1 +1

Atalanta and Cagliari Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W D W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
3 :  2
SS Arezzo

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
2 :  1
Atalanta BC U23
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

22 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta
Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
D W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Lecce

3 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Inter Milan

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Cagliari

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  0
SS Arezzo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Lecce

3 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  0
SS Arezzo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
1 :  0
Modena
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Cagliari

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Cagliari

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  0
Cagliari

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

Atalanta vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

50 %

Draw

17 %

Cagliari

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  2
Atalanta

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Cagliari

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Atalanta

7 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Atalanta

24 Sept 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Cagliari
Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction

Atalanta vs Cagliari last Lineups

Atalanta

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

29
M. Carnesecchi
16
R. Bellanova
3
O. Kossounou
42
G. Scalvini
23
S. Kolasinac
10
L. Samardzic
70
G. Gaetano
13
E. Silva
17
C. De Ketelaere
9
G. Scamacca
99
E. Elmas
31
P. Mendy
70
D. Maldini
10
J. Fazzini
4
A. Romano
6
H. Winks
8
M. Adopo
33
A. Obert
15
J. Rodriguez
14
A. Deiola
2
Ze Pedro
1
E. Caprile

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

Cagliari

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

T. Pompei

Defender

R. Obric

L. Bernasconi

T. Kristensen

D. Zappacosta

Midfielder

F. Kessie

M. Pasalic

N. Zalewski

Forward

N. Krstovic

J. Rowe

G. Raspadori

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

B. Radunovic

A. Sherri

Defender

G. Aurelio

Midfielder

R. Gagliardini

I. Sulev

Y. Massolin

R. Kofler

D. Akarakiri

J. Liteta

N. Grandu

Forward

R. Ciervo

A. Sugamele

A. Fadera

M. Felici

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

I. Hien

Midfielder

G. Gaetano

Forward

K. Sulemana

Cagliari
Cagliari
Defender

Y. Mina

Y. Sugawara

R. Idrissi

Forward

M. Nzola

M. Felici

Y. Junior Trepy

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Cagliari
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (1 Goals)
Italy G. Raspadori (1 Goals)
Serbia L. Samardzic (1 Goals)
Brazil E. Silva (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Switzerland A. Romano (1 Goals) Italy D. Maldini (1 Goals)
Best assists
Italy G. Gaetano (1 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (1 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Adopo (1 Assists)
Italy J. Fazzini (1 Assists)

Atalanta and Cagliari Stats in Serie A

Atalanta
Atalanta
Cagliari
Cagliari
67%
Wins
67%
33%
Losses
33%
0%
Draws
0%
2.33
Average goals per match
1
1.33
Goals scored per match
0.67
1
Goals conceded per match
0.33
33%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
33%
No goals conceded
67%
67%
BTTS
0%

Atalanta - Cagliari Key Points

  1. Atalanta’s last four games were settled by a one-goal margin.
  2. Atalanta are unbeaten in three home matches, winning twice.
  3. Four of Cagliari’s last five matches recorded 1-0 score lines.
  4. Cagliari are winless in three league games at Atalanta, losing twice.
  5. Four of these teams’ last five meetings were settled by the difference of one goal.
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Our Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction

These two sides have suffered one defeat each so far this season. While Atalanta battle to return to winning ways after a 2-1 loss to Roma, Cagliari were 1-0 winners at Lecce. Just like those two games, we expect another tight encounter that will likely be settled by slim margins.

Each of Atalanta’s last four matches was settled by a one-goal margin, and the same is seen in all of Cagliari’s matches this season. It doesn’t end there, as the same is the case in four of their last five meetings. Our prediction for Atalanta v Cagliari is for Atalanta to win by a one-goal margin.

Prediction :

 

Atalanta to win by a one-goal margin

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.