Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Serie A Predictions
The Sunday matchup between Atalanta and Bologna will be a tricky event for punters. Bologna can still mathematically steal Atalanta’s Conference League qualification spot and the final European slot in the Serie A. With the pressure to cut the goal difference, we should see at least one goal from the away side. Read our Atalanta vs Bologna match prediction below.
La Dea heads into Matchday 37 on a massive high following a chaotic 3-2 away victory against AC Milan. That victory finally ended a five-game winless streak for Atalanta, which saw them concede in four of the five games played.
Despite conceding the 5th-fewest goals this season, Atalanta have slumped defensively in this final chapter, which is something Bologna is poised to take advantage of. The Rossoblù, meanwhile, travels to Bergamo with absolute desperation fueling their campaign. Bolongo is also fresh off an incredible 3-2, defeating Antonio Conte’s Napoli to keep their European dreams alive.
Atalanta currently surpasses Rossoblù with a goal difference of 14. While that number seems unclimbable, even a 3-0 win here for Bologna will cut the goal difference to just six. If the visitors can win their final game with Atalanta losing, a shot at Europe is still well within reach.
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Atalanta v Bologna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.98 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.04 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.95 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Bologna match is: Bologna scores over 0.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Atalanta and Bologna in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.39% for a win of Atalanta against Bologna with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Bologna is 25.13% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Atalanta with odds of 4.71 at 888Starz.
Atalanta - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 41.48% | 4.71 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 53.49% | 2.26 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bologna/Bologna | 14.76% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Atalanta vs Bologna Form
Atalanta and Bologna's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
8
|
56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 |
Atalanta and Bologna Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
2 May 2026 - Serie A
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Serie A
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
28 Sept 2024 - Serie A
3 Mar 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderR. Bellanova
M. Bakker
S. Kolasinac
R. Obric
MidfielderY. Musah
L. Samardzic
M. Pasalic
K. Sulemana
G. Scamacca
D. Vavassori
F. Ravaglia
M. Pessina
DefenderL. De Silvestri
N. Zortea
C. Lykogiannis
B. Tomasevic
MidfielderN. Moro
S. Sohm
ForwardR. Orsolini
J. Odgaard
T. Dallinga
B. Dominguez
Missing players
O. Kossounou
L. Bernasconi
J. Lucumi
N. Casale
M. Vitik
MidfielderN. Cambiaghi
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Bologna
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(10 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
N. Cambiaghi
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(4 Assists)
Atalanta - Bologna Key Points
- Atalanta has conceded in five of their last six games.
- Bologna have scored in nine of their last ten away league games.
- Atalanta have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six games.
- Bologna just beat Napoli 3-2 away from home.
- Although Atalanta won their latest game, they still conceded two goals to bottom-table Genoa.
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Our Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction
Bologna are the massive underdogs in this game, giving us a case of potentially mispriced odds. The Rossoblù did lose the first encounter to La Dea this season without netting a goal. However, the pressures are much different today. Bologna doesn’t just need to win this game.
They also need to do so with several goals if they hope to cut a goal difference of 14 in the final two games. And after just beating Napoli 3-2 on the road, we’re confident Bologna can at least score one goal at 1.50 odds. Hence, our Atalanta vs Bologna prediction is that Bologna scores over 0.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Bologna
| Atalanta vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.69 | 1.78 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.2 | -4.5% |
| Bologna wins | 5.11 | 4.71 | -7.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.6% and is now 21.2% (1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
