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21 September 2024 - 10:00 

- Day 5

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
VS
Wolves

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions

Aston Villa will look to pile more misery on Wolverhampton as the Midlands derby lights up the 2024-25 English Premier League season this week. This match at the Villa Park in Birmingham on Saturday comes with our prediction of being a high-scoring match.

The hosts made a flying start to this league campaign and are also coming off a win in the midweek Champions League fixture. It would be tough to see beyond them in terms of a winner, although stranger things have happened in derbies.

Wolves will hope to turn their season around, as they come here with just one point from their four league games. Even the midweek EFL Cup didn’t bring success, crashing out after a loss to Brighton.

Villa have won this fixture 2-0 last season, but the Midlands derby has been closer than anticipated in recent times. Will that tradition continue and give the Wolves a ray of hope? Read on to find out more about our prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Wolves Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 4.1 5
Ladbrokes
1.83 2.8 4.6
1xbet
1.63 4.47 5.33
22bet
1.63 4.47 5.33
Betobet
1.58 4.3 5.25
Betwinner
1.58 4.4 5.2
Stake
1.56 4.5 5.6
Melbet
1.58 4.34 5.15
Tonybet
1.6 4.4 5.4
Check all Aston Villa vs Wolves odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Wolves?

Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Wolves match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Aston Villa and Wolves in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.22% for a win of Aston Villa against Wolves with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Wolves is 23.63% with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Aston Villa with odds of 5.6 at Stake.

Aston Villa - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Wolves Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 52.22% 1.83 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 65.11% 1.67 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 72.08% 1.7 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa 20.58% 2.4 at Bet365

Aston Villa vs Wolves Form

Aston Villa and Wolves's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
14 7 4 2 1 3
20
Wolves
Wolves
1 7 0 1 6 -12

Aston Villa and Wolves Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
0 :  3
Aston Villa

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
Everton

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
1 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Arsenal

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Aston Villa
Wolves
Wolves Last matches
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Brighton
3 :  2
Wolves

15 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  2
Newcastle

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Wolves

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Burnley

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  6
Chelsea

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Wolves

Aston Villa against Wolves : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

17 %

Draw

33 %

Wolves

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Wolves

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Aston Villa

6 May 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  0
Aston Villa

4 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Wolves

2 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  1
Aston Villa

16 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  3
Wolves
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Aston Villa - Wolves: Form Analysis

Aston Villa is fifth in the standings ahead of this weekend, with nine points from four matches. They are only three behind leaders Manchester City and have three wins and a loss so far.

The hosts are coming off a 3-0 win over BSC Young Boys in the Champions League during the midweek. That made it three consecutive wins in all competitions. In the league, they won their last two matches after a 2-0 loss to Arsenal on matchday two.

Villa won just one of their last four Premier League home matches.

That has to do with a blip they encountered at the end of last season, where they lost one and drew two of the last three home league games. Wolves find themselves in the relegation zone ahead of this round, with one point from four matches. Their lone point came in a 1-1 draw against Nottingham Forest on matchday three.

They are coming off a 3-2 loss to Brighton in the EFL Cup, which makes it four losses, one draw, and just one win in their six competitive matches this season. Worryingly enough, they have already conceded 11 goals and will sweat ahead of this derby.

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Aston Villa against Wolves Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
E. Martinez
4
E. Konsa
3
D. Carlos
14
P. Torres
12
L. Digne
24
A. Onana
8
Y. Tielemans
7
J. McGinn
27
M. Rogers
41
J. Ramsey
11
O. Watkins
9
J. Larsen
10
M. Cunha
27
J. Bellegarde
8
J. Gomes
7
Andre
5
M. Lemina
3
R. Ait-Nouri
15
C. Dawson
14
Y. Mosquera
22
N. Semedo
31
S. Johnstone

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Wolves

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

B. Kamara

J. McGinn

A. Onana

J. Ramsey

Wolves
Wolves
Defender

B. Meupiyou

Y. Mosquera

Midfielder

B. Traore

Forward

E. Gonzalez

S. Kalajdzic

Aston Villa & Wolves Squad Analysis

Aston Villa continues to be without Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, and Tyrone Mings. The trio could be out of contention for some time, but the hosts have been impressive, thanks to their squad strength.

Thankfully for the hosts, they didn’t suffer any injuries in their Champions League midweek match in Switzerland. Ollie Watkins was seen strapping an ice pack to his ankle after being replaced, but it was seen as a precaution.

Leon Bailey has recovered and could be available.

Wolves coach Gary O’Neil made as many as ten changes to the side that lost to Newcastle for their EFL Cup game in the midweek. Toti, who had a minor hamstring strain, should be fit again to face Villa.

Sasa Kalajdzic, David Gonzalez, and Leon Chiwome are out of contention for the visitors. Craig Dawson remains a doubt, while Rayan Ait-Nouri is doubtful following an ankle injury. Yerson Mosquera is another doubtful player for the Wolves.

In terms of impact, Jhon Duran has three goals in four matches, all off the bench, and will hope to get a starting role here. From the Wolves’ camp, Matheus Cunha scored in their 6-2 loss against Chelsea and could be an interesting player to watch.

Aston Villa - Wolves Key Points

  1. Three of Villa’s four league matches this season have produced over 2.5 goals
  2. Villa have scored exactly three goals in four of their last six home league matches
  3. Wolves have conceded nine goals in their last three league matches
  4. In six of their last eight away league games, Wolves have conceded at least two goals
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Our Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction

Aston Villa started this season the way they ended the last—on a high. They have been impressive in their three wins so far, with their lone defeat coming against a strong Arsenal side. Wolves have been impressive too, in terms of goals, although the final results haven’t been to their liking. They have already conceded 11 goals this season, although six of those were in one match against Arsenal. This derby also promises to be full of goals, and that’s why our prediction for Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs Wolves - Other Interesting Predictions

Jhon Duran to score anytime

Considered to be a generational talent, Jhon Duran is rated very high at Aston Villa. Unai Emeri believes that he can transform the youngster into a world-class forward and is closely monitoring his progress. He is struggling to get into the starting XI though, as Ollie Watkins is in impressive form himself. That said, Duran has scored three goals in his last four Premier League matches. He can be an interesting option to back in the scorers’ market.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Wolves

Aston Villa vs Wolves Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Aston Villa wins 1.5 1.62 +8.0%
Draw 4.5 4.1 -8.9%
Wolves wins 5.75 5 -13.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Aston Villa is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)

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Aston Villa vs Wolves match : Frequently asked questions

The Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton English Premier League match is scheduled for a 3 pm UK time kick-off on Saturday, September 21, 2024.
The Aston Villa v Wolverhampton match will take place at the Villa Park, the home ground for Aston Villa.

This Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton English Premier League match will be televised live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League in the UK.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction
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