Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
After a successful evening in Europe on Thursday, Aston Villa return to the Premier League. The Villans are fourth in the table and Sunday sees them host tenth-placed Sunderland. Find out more about this game in our match prediction below.
Villa beat Bologna on Thursday to qualify for the Europa League semi-finals. Winning that trophy would take them into next season's UCL but they look like qualifying for that competition via their league position. The Lions are seven points above sixth place with six games to play. Recent league form hasn't been great for Villa but a repeat of last year when they just failed to reach the Champions League qiualifying places looks unlikely.
Seventh place will qualify a club for European football next season. Eighth may even be good enough and Sunderland still have a chance of qualifying. They are only a point off seventh and two adrift of sixth. They seem to have come through a bad patch but they will find this trip to Villa Park a difficult one on Sunday. Can the Black Cats spring a surprise on their Premier League opponents?
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Aston Villa v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 3.75 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.62 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.64 | 5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.55 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Sunderland match is: Aston Villa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Aston Villa and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.22% for a win of Aston Villa against Sunderland with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Sunderland is 26.78% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Aston Villa with odds of 5.13 at 888Starz.
Aston Villa - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 41.22% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 60.18% | 1.93 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 16.35% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Form
Aston Villa and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
Aston Villa and Sunderland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Sunderland: Form Analysis
Aston Villa are only behind third placed Manchester United on goal difference. They have 55 points from their 32 games in this season's Premier League and well on their way to automatic Champions League qualification regardless of whether or not the Europa League is won this term.
The Villans beat Bologna 4-0 at home on Thursday to extend their unbeaten run to five matches in competitive fixtures. Their most recent league game saw them draw 1-1 at their Europa League semi-final opponents Nottingham Forest.
Villa are strong on home soil.
Villa have won ten home Premier League fixtures this season and only the top two have won more. They had gone two home league games without a victory before a 2-0 win over West Ham United.
Sunderland are battling hard for European qualification. They had been struggling for wins until recently but have won at Newcastle and beaten Spurs at home in their last two games. A deflected goal gave them that win over Spurs last weekend.
On the road, the Black Cats have won four away league games with seven matches being lost. They are unbeaten in their last three away league games with the last two won at Leeds and Newcastle. Just ten away league goals have been scored by them this season.
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Aston Villa against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Bizot
DefenderL. Digne
V. Lindelof
MidfielderDouglas Luiz
L. Bogarde
E. Buendia
J. Sancho
L. Bailey
T. Abraham
M. Ellborg
DefenderD. Ballard
L. Geertruida
D. Cirkin
T. Hume
C. Talbi
H. Jones
ForwardW. Isidor
E. Mayenda
Missing players
B. Kamara
ForwardAlysson
S. Moore
MidfielderR. Mundle
J. Bi
ForwardB. Traore
N. Angulo
Aston Villa & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Aston Villa had a comfortable win over Bologna on Thursday evening. They were able to give a break to five of their top players due to the large lead they had over the Italian side. That included Ollie Watkins who was again on target.
Villa have few injury concerns at present.
Resting players will help the Villans in what is going to be a busy end to their season. Ross Barkley could be included on Sunday as he was not eligible to play in their European tie. Their goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez played on Thursday after previously being out due to a calf injury.
More good news was that Jadon Sancho was back on the bench.
Sunderland have had some improved results of late but were lucky to get three points against Spurs last Sunday. The Black Cats could field an unchanged side for this away game against Aston Villa. There is a chance Dan Ballard could be fit to return to the starting line-up after suffering a muscle injury.
They will be keen to build on their two recent league wins. Away form is going to be vital in the run-in and Sunderland needs to improve their scoring rate on the road with just ten being scored since they returned to the Premier League.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Sunderland
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Aston Villa - Sunderland Key Points
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five competitive fixtures.
- Aston Villa have won ten home league games this season.
- Sunderland have only four away league victories this term.
- Sunderland have only scored ten away league goals this season. Only Wolves have scored fewer goals.
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Our Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction
Aston Villa are going well both in domestic compettition and Europe. The Europa League semi-finalists were in top form on Thursday as they beat Bologna 4-0 in their quarter-final. Villa are fourth in the Premier League and a top five finish is extremely likely.
Sunderland had a poor run of form earlier this year but have got themselves back on track in recent weeks. Their away form is not the best in the league and only ten goals have been scored. Our main Aston Villa v Sunderland prediction is Aston Villa wins.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Alternative Predictions
Ollie Watkins scores
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Sunderland
| Aston Villa vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.57 | 1.8 | +14.6% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.8 | +2.7% |
| Sunderland wins | 6 | 5.13 | -14.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 55.6% (-8.1%)
Aston Villa vs Sunderland - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
