England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa begin the new Premier League season with a home game against Newcastle United. Villa finished sixth in the table last term, just behind United on goal difference. Can the Villans get three points on Saturday?
Villa may have only been behind Newcastle on goal difference but it's been very costly for them. Missing out on fifth place means it's Newcastle who are in the Champions League this season For Aston Villa, it's the Europa League they're entered in this season.
The summer transfer window hasn't been an enjoyable one for Newcastle so far. A lack of big-name signings and it will get considerably worse if Alexander Isak gets his wish to leave the club. The Magpies will want some more reinforcements before the transfer window closes. They only qualified for the Champions League thanks to England being granted an additional place. Can United put their transfer woes aside for a moment and get a win at Villa Park?
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Newcastle Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.25 | 3.6 | 3 |
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2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
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2.25 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
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2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
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2.37 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Newcastle match is: Aston Villa to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Aston Villa and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.38% for a win of Aston Villa against Newcastle with odds of 2.38 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Newcastle is 18.52% with odds of 3.85 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.1 at Unibet.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Form
Aston Villa and Newcastle Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
12 Aug 2023 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Newcastle: Form Analysis
A final day defeat at Old Trafford condemned Aston Villa to this season's Europa League. Just a point would have been enough to see them finish above Newcastle and go into the Champions League for a second successive season.
Aston Villa had the fourth best home record in the Premier League season with 11 wins from 19 games. Their only home league loss was to Arsenal a year ago. They've now gone 18 home league fixtures without a loss.
Their last five home Premier League fixtures have all been won and that includes a 4-1 win over Newcastle in April. Only one of their last six pre-season matches ended in defeat. That was a loss at Marseille but they had wins over Roma and Villarreal.
Worrying times for the Magpies.
Transfer windows can be unsettling and that's what Newcastle have been enduring with the ongoing Isak saga. The Magpies lost their last two league games of last season but still managed to hold onto fifth place and secure a return to the Champions League.
Away form in the top-flight last season saw them win eight games but be beaten in seven, Only one point was earned from their last three on the road with losses at Villa and Arsenal. Their seven pre-season friendlies produced a win over Carlisle, two draws and four defeats.
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Missing players

E. Martinez

J. Willock
Aston Villa & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Aston Villa will be without goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez for this opening game against Newcastle United. He was sent off in Villa's final league game of last season and is suspended for this fixture.
Morgan Rogers was a key player for Villa last season and only missed one league match. He suffered an ankle injury recently and is considered unlikely to start this match. Villa are hopeful he will be able to feature in some way.
Still no Isak for United.
Newcastle United will be without Alexander Isak who remains intent to leave the club. With a busy season ahead they have made some key signings this summer. Anthony Elanga will ensure there is a Swedish presence at the club even if their top scorer departs.
He was an influential player for Notts Forest last season and looks a good signing for United. Aaron Ramsdale and Malick Thiaw have also joined the club.
The Magpies have a tough start to the new season with a home game against Liverpool following this trip to Villa Park. Anthony Gordon is expected to be fit and a big boost would be the return of defender Sven Botman with plenty of Villa attacks likely to have to be dealt with.
Aston Villa - Newcastle Key Points
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 18 home league games.
- Aston Villa beat Newcastle 4-1 at home in April.
- Newcastle only won one pre-season friendlies and that was against a non-league team.
- Aston Villa have won their last five home league fixtures.
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Our Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction
Aston Villa would love some revenge on Newcastle for costing them a place in this season's Champions League. They had good home league form last season and a win here will make it six straight league wins.. That includes a 4-1 win over United in April.
Newcastle's pre-season didn't go well both on and off the pitch. They've tried their best not to let the problems with Isak affect the players with only one of their friendlies won and ended last season with poor away league form. Our main Aston Villa v Newcastle prediction is Aston Vila to win.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have most goals scored
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Aston Villa vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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