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05 October 2023 - 15:00 

- Day 2

Europe - Conference League

Aston Villa
VS
HSK Zrinjski Mostar

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

 by Sridhar | in Conference League Predictions

Aston Villa will be keen to get their campaign going when they host HSK Zrinjski Mostar on matchday two of the UEFA Europa Conference League. This Group E match at Villa Park on Thursday will see the hosts bottom of the table with no points on the board while their visitors have three points. Aston Villa aren't always at their best when playing away from home. That was illustrated in their opening Europa League game when losing 3-2 at Legia Warsaw. Home form will therefore be important for them if they want to progress to the knockout stages. They did try to retaliate and hit back every time they conceded with the score reading 2-2 after 38 minutes, but a goal in the second-half condemned them to a defeat and having to play catch-up.  Villa did come back after that defeat winning 1-0 over Chelsea and then smashing high-flyers Brighton & Hove Albion by a 6-1 margin over the weekend.

Zrinjski shouldn’t be taken lightly, as the club from Bosnia & Herzegovina surprised everyone on matchday. They were 3-0 down against AZ Alkmaar in that fixture but kept finding the goals to eventually win 4-3. The visitors kept finding wins after that too, making it three wins in a row since that matchday one victory. That has given them a chance to move up the domestic table to fourth, which adds to their aura. Away form is of slight concern though, as they’ve won just once across their last six away European games – drawing two and losing three.

The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v HSK Zrinjski Mostar Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.11 10 15
NetBet
1.08 10 23
1xbet
1.12 11.4 14.7
22bet
1.12 11.4 14.7
Betwinner
1.07 11 29
Stake
1.1 9.2 20
Melbet
1.09 9.7 27
Tonybet
1.11 10.45 21.61
Check all Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and HSK Zrinjski Mostar?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2023 between Aston Villa and HSK Zrinjski Mostar in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.17% for a win of Aston Villa against HSK Zrinjski Mostar with odds of 1.12 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar is 7.14% with odds of 11.4 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.69% chance ⭐ for a win of HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Aston Villa with odds of 29 at Betwinner.

Aston Villa - HSK Zrinjski Mostar Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa HSK Zrinjski Mostar Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 68.17% 1.12 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 69.72% 1.52 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa 37.1% 1.44 at Bet365

Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar Form

Aston Villa and HSK Zrinjski Mostar's standings in the Conference League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
13 6 4 1 1 5
4
HSK Zrinjski Mostar
HSK Zrinjski Mostar
4 6 1 1 4 -4

Aston Villa and HSK Zrinjski Mostar Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
6 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Everton

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Aston Villa

21 Sep 2023 - Conference League

Legia Warszawa
3 :  2
Aston Villa

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

3 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  0
Aston Villa
HSK Zrinjski Mostar
HSK Zrinjski Mostar Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.17
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
1.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

21 Sep 2023 - Conference League

HSK Zrinjski Mostar
4 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

31 Aug 2023 - Europa League

HSK Zrinjski Mostar
1 :  1
LASK Linz

24 Aug 2023 - Europa League

LASK Linz
2 :  1
HSK Zrinjski Mostar

17 Aug 2023 - Europa League

Breidablik Kopavogur
1 :  0
HSK Zrinjski Mostar

10 Aug 2023 - Europa League

HSK Zrinjski Mostar
6 :  2
Breidablik Kopavogur

1 Aug 2023 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
2 :  2
HSK Zrinjski Mostar
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Aston Villa - HSK Zrinjski Mostar: Form Analysis

Aston Villa were surprised in the first match of the competition when they lost 3-2 to Legia Warsaw. Since then they have showed good form with a 1-0 win at Chelsea and then a highly impressive 6-1 thrashing of Brighton and Hove Albion. They did lose 2-1 at home to Everton in the Carabao Cup but played a weakened line-up in that match.  The task before the hosts right now is to win consecutive matches for the first time since early September. Aside from that cup loss to Everton, their form at Aston Villa is highly impressive. They have won 11 of their last 12 home fixtures and that includes a 3-0 win over Hibernian in the play-off round. Only in three of their last 12 home games have they failed to score at least twice.

Zrinjski surprised everyone by coming back from being 3-0 down against AZ Alkmaar on matchday one, winning 4-3. They went on to go from strength to strength from there, winning three matches in a row since then. They scored eight goals during those three wins and were comprehensive in their manner of wins, which adds to their strength. At least two goals have been scored in each of their last four fixtures. On their travels, they have won their last two games but before that had a draw and three losses. 

Aston Villa against HSK Zrinjski Mostar Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
E. Martinez
3
D. Carlos
4
E. Konsa
17
C. Lenglet
12
L. Digne
32
L. Dendoncker
8
Y. Tielemans
31
L. Bailey
7
J. McGinn
22
N. Zaniolo
24
J. Duran
99
N. Bilbija
25
M. Cuze
20
A. Ivancic
22
A. Hrvanovic
15
S. Radic
5
D. Canadjija
91
M. Ticinovic
95
M. Senic
27
S. Jakovljevic
6
J. Corluka
35
M. Maric

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

HSK Zrinjski Mostar

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

M. Cash

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Y. Tielemans

N. Zaniolo

Forward

M. Rogers

HSK Zrinjski Mostar
HSK Zrinjski Mostar

Aston Villa & HSK Zrinjski Mostar Squad Analysis

Aston Villa have a long list of injuries ahead of this match. Leon Bailey, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, and Kortney Hause are all unavailable due to injuries. There are a few more players who are questionable in terms of their fitness, with Tim Iroegbunam and Alex Moreno likely to be out of contention due to injuries. Zrinjski on the other hand, have a relatively smaller list of injuries with only Hrvoje Barisic out of contention due to an injury.

Aston Villa - HSK Zrinjski Mostar Key Points

  1. In ten of their last 11 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Aston Villa’s last nine home matches in all competitions have returned over 2.5 goals
  3. The hosts have seen their three Europa Conference League matches produce over 2.5 goals scored
  4. Three of Zrinjski’s last four matches in all competitions have returned over 2.5 goals
  5. In three of their last six away matches in all competitions, Zrinjski have produced over 2.5 goals
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Our Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar Prediction

Aston Villa didn’t quite have the start to their Europa Conference League campaign, as they would have wanted. A 3-2 loss to Legia Warsaw puts them in an unenvious position of starting this round at the bottom spot in the group. That said, they have improved their performances since matchday one and come into this match with renewed confidence. Villa Park has been buzzing with goals this season and there’s no reason why it can’t be the same again here. Zrinjski have had a remarkable start to their campaign with a smashing win on matchday one. They can’t be taken easily as Aston Villa will hope they can keep finding the goals. All this means that there are goals in this encounter and our prediction for Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar is over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar - Other Interesting Predictions

Aston Villa to win and lead at half and full time

Aston Villa are doing their best to turn Villa Park into a fortress. That was definitely the case when they destroyed Brighton and Hove Albion 6-1 at the weekend. They have led at both half and full time in seven of their last eight home fixtures.

Ollie Watkins to score

Ollie Watkins is in top form for Aston Villa and scored a hat-trick last weekend. That followed the three goals he scored in the away leg of their Europa Conference League play-off game against Hibernian.

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Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar match : Frequently asked questions

This Aston Villa v Zrinjski Mostar game is being shown live on TNT Sports. A subscription is required to view this channel which is also available on Amazon Prime. Sportytrader Livescore page is the place to follow this game live.
This Europa Conference League between Aston Villa and Zrinjski Mostar is being played on Thursday 5 October with a 20:00 kick-off (UK time).
This is a home game for Aston Villa in the Europa Conference League. Therefore, the game will be played in Birmingham at Villa Park.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar Prediction
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