England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Sunday in the Premier League brings us a Midlands meeting draped in maroon, as Aston Villa prepare to take on Burnley at Villa Park in their final match ahead of the international break. The Villans are in 16th place in the league standings, while the Clarets are two below them in 18th after six games. Check out our match prediction below!
It took Unai Emery’s side six matches across all competitions to find their first win this season, but after beating Bologna a fortnight ago, the Lions seem to have found top gear. Following an excellent display at De Kuip in midweek, they now return to their home patch, which has become one of the most imposing venues in the English top flight.
Burnley’s league position does not tell the full story of how they have performed this season, especially when considering how they fared against Man United and Liverpool. However, as the lowest-placed of the newly-promoted teams, pressure is certainly piling on Scott Parker to turn resilience into reward. It’s a clash of the clarets - let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.1 | 5.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Burnley match is: Aston Villa wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Aston Villa and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.23% for a win of Aston Villa against Burnley with odds of 1.62 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Burnley is 16.61% with odds of 4.3 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Aston Villa with odds of 6.2 at 22bet.
Aston Villa vs Burnley Form
Aston Villa and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
|
18
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Aston Villa and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
16 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
16 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2023 - Premier League
19 May 2022 - Premier League
7 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Jan 2021 - Premier League
17 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Burnley: Form Analysis
Aston Villa return to domestic league action this weekend after maintaining a perfect start to their Europa League campaign by beating Feyenoord 2-0 in Rotterdam on Thursday night.
The Lions are now riding a three-match win streak across all competitions and scored six goals during this period - which is a massive improvement after only netting twice in their first six games of the season.
The hosts have taken four points from their first three home league games this term (W1 D1 L1) and are unbeaten in their last four top-flight matches against this opponent here at Villa Park.
Aston Villa have only lost two home league games since he start of the 2024-25 EPL season!
Meanwhile, after a decent first-half performance, Burnley came apart in the second 45 against Manchester City last weekend and ended up suffering a painful 5-1 defeat at the Etihad Stadium.
With that result, the Clarets are now winless in their last five matches across all competitions (D1 L5), a period during which they were also dumped out of the EFL Cup by Championship outfit Cardiff City.
The visitors have yet to earn a point on the road this season (L3) and have already shipped 11 goals on their travels, which is the most of any team in the top flight so far this term.
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Aston Villa vs Burnley last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
T. Mings
MidfielderR. Barkley
A. Onana
Y. Tielemans
ForwardJ. Sancho
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
Aston Villa & Burnley Squad Analysis
Given that Morgan Rogers has struggled to find top form in the number 10 role so far this season, Unai Emery will be ecstatic with the recent performances of Emiliano Buendia.
The Argentine produced a match-winning cameo against Fulham last week with a goal and an assist off the bench and followed up by netting the Villans' opener against Feyenoord on Thursday night.
Boubacar Kamara will likely start as the deepest-lying midfielder with Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans and Ross Barkley all sidelined. Tyrone Mings is out for the foreseeable future, while Emiliano Martinez is a minor doubt after picking up a knock during warm-up at De Kuip.
Captain Incredible John McGinn has scored in each of his last three matches!
For Burnley, Maxime Esteve will be looking for redemption this week after a horrific outing against Man City in which he stuck two own goals past Save of the Month contender Martin Dubravka.
Jaidon Anthony has almost single-handedly carried the Clarets’ attack this season. The Englishman has directly contributed to five of the team’s six goals this season, scoring four and assisting one.
The visitors have three players ruled out through injury this week in Jordan Beyer (knee), Connor Roberts (knee) and Zeki Amdouni (cruciate ligament).
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Burnley
J. McGinn
(3 Goals)
J. Anthony
(4 Goals)
B. Kamara
(2 Assists)
J. Bruun Larsen
(1 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Cullen
(1 Assists)
, 
Q. Hartman
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Foster
(1 Assists)
Aston Villa and Burnley Stats in Premier League
Aston Villa - Burnley Key Points
- Aston Villa are on a three-match win streak across all competitions.
- Aston Villa have only lost two home league games since he start of last season.
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent.
- Burnley are winless in their five matches across all competitions.
- Burnley have lost all three of their away league games this season and conceded 11 goals combined in those matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction
After a poor start to the season, Aston Villa seem to be finding top form again, and they will enter this match riding a wave of confidence thanks to their impressive performance in Rotterdam on Thursday night.
Burnley have been very poor on the road this season, and they now head to the fortress that is Villa Park, a venue where only Arsenal and Crystal Palace have managed to leave with three points since the start of last season. Our Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction is Aston Villa wins the match.
Aston Villa vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Two of Aston Villa’s last three home games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Burnley have conceded 3+ goals in each of their three away league matches this season. Additionally, over 2.5 goals were scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.
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Aston Villa vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Burnley will take place on October 5 at 14:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Burnley will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Burnley will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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