Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 24 in the English Premier League sees Aston Villa hosting Brentford on Sunday. The Villans are currently sitting third in the standings while the Bees are in eighth place. Check out our match prediction below!
Aston Villa were able to cut the lead on leaders Arsenal to just four points last weekend as they continue their surprise title challenge. They’re now trailing second-place Manchester City only on goal differential and they’ve built up a nine-point lead over fifth-place Chelsea in the top four race.
Back-to-back league defeats has seen Brentford’s hope for European football qualification take a hit. However, they’re still very much in the fight, trailing sixth-place Liverpool by only three points. They were able to win the reverse fixture 1-0 but have yet to record a win over Aston Villa at Villa Park. In their 11 meetings across all competitions dating back to the 1930s in this fixture, Aston Villa have won four with the remaining seven ending in draws.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Aston Villa v Brentford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.36 | 3.45 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.82 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Brentford match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Aston Villa and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.62% for a win of Aston Villa against Brentford with odds of 2.36 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Brentford is 11.1% with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.38 at 888Starz.
Aston Villa - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 59.62% | 2.36 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 57.08% | 2.25 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 26.45% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Brentford Form
Aston Villa and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
Aston Villa and Brentford Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Brentford: Form Analysis
Aston Villa are fresh off a come-from-behind 3-2 home victory over Salzburg on Thursday to wrap up a second-place finish in the league phase of their Europa League campaign.
The hosts are now on a run of three straight wins across all competitions and their last league fixture finished in a 2-0 away win over Newcastle. Villa were somewhat fortunate that Newcastle didn’t score in that game and it took a man-of-the-match performance from goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez to keep them out.
With a number of the top teams in the standings dropping points, Aston Villa’s seven points from their last four matches sees them having made up ground on both Arsenal and Manchester City, who have each only managed 5 points from their last four games.
Brentford have one of the largest disparities between their home vs away form in the Premier League.
Brentford have not travelled well this season, winning only three times and losing eight in their 11 trips. The Bees rank fourth in terms of the best home record with 24 points from 12 games but only 16th in the away record ranking with 9 points from 11 games.
Most recently, they suffered a disappointing 2-0 home loss to Nottingham for their second defeat in a row. Brentford were wasteful once again in front of goal, unable to break down the Forest low block despite racking up 1.81 expected goals and three clear cut chances.
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Aston Villa against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Bizot
DefenderV. Lindelof
L. Digne
T. Mings
MidfielderA. Onana
H. Elliott
G. Hemmings
R. Barkley
ForwardL. Bailey
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderE. Pinnock
N. Collins
A. Hickey
L. Bentt
Y. Yarmoliuk
R. Donovan
ForwardM. Damsgaard
K. Lewis-Potter
Missing players
J. McGinn
Y. Tielemans
B. Kamara
A. Garcia
ForwardO. Watkins
Alysson
J. Da Silva
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
Aston Villa & Brentford Squad Analysis
Ollie Watkins was forced off injured in the team’s UEL win over Salzburg on Thursday. His status remains uncertain and will likely be touch and go right until kickoff as to whether or not he can line up against his former club.
This should striker Tammy Abraham lead the line for the Lions after completing his transfer from Besiktas for a fee of £18.25 million
John McGinn has undergone knee surgery that is expected to keep him out for two months. Boubacar Kamara is out for the season while Youri Tielemans is out for 8-10 weeks with an ankle injury.
Aston Villa’s win percentage drops from 57.9% to 40.8% when Kamara is not in the team.
This presents major issues for Emery’s midfield and it remains to be seen how he will adjust his team to cope without the trio. The addition of Douglas Luiz, who is back for a second stint at the club, is sure to be a major boost for the title hopefuls.
Brentford manager Keith Andrews stated that Mikkel Damsgaard, along with defender Kristoffer Ajer, are both very close to a return, opening the door to the possibility that they could feature.
Damsgaard has been vital to Brentford over recent seasons, operating as the team’s chief creative outlet. His return would be a big boost for striker Igor Thiago, who ranks second in the league in goals at 16.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Brentford
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Aston Villa - Brentford Key Points
- Brentford have created 6 clear cut scoring chances and 3.33 expected goals in their last two outings.
- The visitors rank second in the Premier League in big scoring chances created at 72.
- BTTS has come through in 10 of Aston Villa’s last 14 across all competitions.
- The last meeting between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw in the EFL Cup in September.
- Aston Villa have conceded 5.48 xG and 10 clear cut chances in their last three games across all competitions.
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Our Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction
Brentford have been quite unlucky not to have found the back of the net in the last two matches as their chance creation has been quite good. With such a dangerous weapon in Igor Thiago up top and potentially having Damsgaard back, we’ll back the Bees to rediscover their scoring touch here.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, have been fortunate to have kept two clean sheets in their last three games considering the number of chances they’ve allowed. Despite some injuries, the Claret and Blue should be able to cope with their strong overall squad. Our Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction: BTTS.
Aston Villa vs Brentford Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Brentford
| Aston Villa vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.96 | 2.36 | +20.4% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | +4.7% |
| Brentford wins | 3.9 | 3.38 | -13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 42.4% (-8.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
