Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Brisbane
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka has moved a step closer to retaining her Brisbane International title and will play 11th seed Karolina Muchova in the semi-finals. This marks their fifth career meeting. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sabalenka is two wins away from being crowned champion once again and starting the new season with a title. The world number one has only lost once in this event since making her debut two seasons ago.
Sabalenka, who won the very first meeting with Muchova back in 2019, has steamrolled her way to the last four. She hasn’t lost more than six games in any of the three matches she has played.
To advance to the semis, the four-time major winner defeated fifth seed Madison Keys.
Karolina Muchova has a head-to-head advantage over Sabalenka. She is one of the few players actively playing who can boast of this.
The Czech athlete has won the last three matchups with the WTA’s top player, with two of those duels being semi-final showdowns. With this record, Muchova, a six-time tour finalist, will be confident of making it to the championship match.
The 29-year-old is coming off a strong display of tenacity against former Brisbane champion Elena Rybakina. She won their quarter-final showdown in three sets and is now up to 19th in the live ranking.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Karolina Muchova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.23 | 4.16 |
|
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1.2 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.18 | 4.5 |
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|
1.23 | 4.16 |
|
Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova game on 09/01/2026 of the current WTA Brisbane season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.88% chance to win against Karolina Muchova according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- Karolina Muchova has a 38.12% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.88 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 61.88 % |
| Karolina Muchova | 38.12 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
7 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
6 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
6 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
24 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
22 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
15 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
4 Oct 2024 - WTA China Open
19 Aug 2023 - WTA Cincinnati Open
8 Jun 2023 - WTA French Open
26 Oct 2019 - WTA Elite Trophy
Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova Key Points
- The last three meetings between Sabalenka and Muchova had three sets played.
- Muchova and Sabalenka have won against each other on hard courts.
- Muchova has contested six tour finals in her career.
- Sabalenka is the Brisbane defending champion.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction
This is a long-standing rivalry between these two players. Their duels have been hard-fought and exciting, with all but one needing a deciding third set to reveal the winner. Muchova has a head-to-head advantage on Sabalenka; not many WTA players can claim that stat.
Sabalenka, on the other hand, is the defending Brisbane champion and the number one ranked in the WTA. With both players also being hard-court specialists and experienced tour performers, this seems like another exciting encounter. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Karolina Muchova is for more than 2.5 sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Karolina Muchova game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Karolina Muchova, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
