WTA - WTA French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
If ever there was a match worthy of a final it's this one. However, top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces defending champion Iga Swiatek in the Roland Garros semi-final. Can Swiatek make it to another final? Here's our match prediction.
A win for Sabalenka will take the Belarusian into her first Roland Garros final. The world number one has now reached nine semi-finals in ten Grand Slam tournaments played. Her only French Open semi-final was in 2023.
The 27-year-old has won all but two of her 18 clay court matches played this year. So far in this tournament, Sabalenka is yet to drop a set and on Tuesday beat Qinwen Zheng in her quarter-final.
Iga Swiatek leads her opponent 8-4 in previous meetings and 5-1 on clay. The Pole is bidding to win this tournament for the fourth year in a row. However, since winning the title here last year, Swiatek has not reached a singles final.
The 24-year-old is in her fifth semi-final of the year and it's her second on clay. Her clay court record this year is 11-3. Swiatek has only dropped one set so far in this tournament but each of her last three matches have seen a 7-5 set played.
We tip over 20.5 games to be played in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Iga Swiatek Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
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1.73 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.75 | 2 |
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1.79 | 2.07 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek match is: over 20.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek game on 05/06/2025 of the current WTA French Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 52.11% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.83.
- Iga Swiatek has a 47.89% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.13 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 52.11 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 52.11 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 47.89 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open
1 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open
30 May 2025 - WTA French Open
28 May 2025 - WTA French Open
25 May 2025 - WTA French Open
14 May 2025 - WTA Rome
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open
1 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open
30 May 2025 - WTA French Open
28 May 2025 - WTA French Open
26 May 2025 - WTA French Open
10 May 2025 - WTA Rome
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
18 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
18 May 2024 - WTA Rome
4 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Dec 2023 - World Tennis League, Men Singles
4 Nov 2023 - WTA Doha
6 May 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Both of Sabalenka's last two matches have seen over 20.5 games played.
- Over 20.5 games have been played in two of the last three matches between Sabalenka and Swiatek.
- Five previous matches between these two players have gone to a final set.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would improve the chances of our prediction winning. Swiatek has had one in each of her last three matches and Sabalenka in her last two.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Iga Swiatek is the defending champion at Roland Garros but is yet to reach a singles final since last year's triumph here. It's been a battle for the Pole to make it through to this semi-final against Aryna Sabalenka with several close sets being played.
The top seed doesn't have the best of records against Swiatek but did win their last match. Her record on clay has been strong this year with one title won. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Iga Swiatek prediction is over 20.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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