FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

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Europe - Conference League

FC Noah
19/02/2026 12:45
AZ Alkmaar

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions

The first UEFA Conference League playoff game will see AZ Alkmaar travel to FC Noah in hopes of knocking out the Armenian side. While De Kaaskoppen enters as the favourites, Noah’s league phase run tells us it will be anything but easy for the visitors. Check out this FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar match prediction!

AZ Alkmaar should be especially confident considering the form they're entering with. The Dutch side just beat Excelsior 2-1 following their hard-fought 1-1 draw with Ajax and the 2-1 win over Twente on the road. De Kaaskoppen has now only tasted defeat twice in their last seven games. And in the Conference League, Alkmaar only lost two of its six games, with the first defeat mostly because of a second-minute red card.

Now, AZ Alkmaar look to build on their three wins in this tournament with another victory over a team considerably weaker. The only problem is that FC Noah isn't exactly pushovers. Yes, the home team is winless in seven of their last eight games outside friendlies, and has also managed only two wins in their last 12 games.

However, when it comes to knockout games, Noah has been a different beast. Just like Alkmaar, Noah only lost two of its six Conference League games, while boasting two crucial underdog wins over Legia Warsaw and Rijeka. Notably, those two wins at home.

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FC Noah v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.65 3.85 1.98
Melbet
3.7 3.7 1.94
Betwinner
3.7 3.7 1.94
Bet365
3.6 3.75 1.91
Roobet
3.65 3.75 1.94
Check all FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar odds

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Noah and AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction for the FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between FC Noah and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24% for a win of FC Noah against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 3.7 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar is 20.5% with odds of 3.85 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 55.51% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah with odds of 1.98 at Stake.

FC Noah - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:

FC Noah AZ Alkmaar Prediction Probability Odds
AZ Alkmaar wins 55.51% 1.98 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 72.76% 1.8 at Stake
Both Team To Score 71.43%
Half-time / Full-time: AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar 23.19% 3 at Bet365

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Form

FC Noah and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches

FC Noah
FC Noah Last matches
D D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lokomotiv Moscow
2 :  0
FC Noah

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Dynamo Kyiv
2 :  0
FC Noah

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
2 :  1
Legia Warsaw

6 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  3
FC BKMA Yerevan

2 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Van Charentsavan
0 :  0
FC Noah

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Aberdeen
1 :  1
FC Noah
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
2 :  1
Legia Warsaw

6 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  3
FC BKMA Yerevan

22 Nov 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
2 :  2
FC Alashkert Yerevan

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  2
Sigma Olomouc

1 Nov 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
1 :  2
FC Ararat-Armenia

18 Oct 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Noah
0 :  0
Banants Yerevan
D W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lokomotiv Moscow
2 :  0
FC Noah

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Dynamo Kyiv
2 :  0
FC Noah

2 Dec 2025 - Armenian Premier League

FC Van Charentsavan
0 :  0
FC Noah

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Aberdeen
1 :  1
FC Noah

27 Oct 2025 - Armenian Premier League

Ararat Yerevan
0 :  3
FC Noah

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

CS Universitatea Craiova
1 :  1
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
D W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

21 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Excelsior
W W D L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax

3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Twente

31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

21 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Excelsior

14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
6 :  0
Ajax

10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Volendam
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
4 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

FC Drita
0 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

3 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker

Zwolle
1 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

FC Noah against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11

FC Noah

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

92
A. Ploshchadny
3
S. Muradyan
39
N. Saintini
44
N. Zolotic
33
D. Sualehe
14
T. Oshima
88
Y. Eteki
17
G. Sangare
19
H. Hambardzumyan
32
N. Mulahusejnovic
7
H. Ferreira
27
R. Daal
9
T. Parrott
17
I. Jensen
74
K. Boogaard
10
S. Mijnans
6
P. Koopmeiners
34
M. De Wit
5
A. Penetra
3
W. Goes
22
E. Dijkstra
41
J. Zoet

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

Substitutes

FC Noah
FC Noah
Goalkeeper

T. Fayulu

Defender

E. Boakye

H. Hambardzumyan 57'

G. Silva

N. Saintini 90'

Midfielder

H. Harutyunyan

A. Khamoyan

I. Oulad Omar

H. Ferreira 90'

Forward

M. Jakolis

G. Sangare 72'

M. Aias

N. Mulahusejnovic 57'

G. Manvelyan

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

H. Verhulst

J. Schipper

Defender

M. Dekker

R. Ichihara

B. van Duijl

Midfielder

R. Robbemond

M. Sin

K. Smit

S. Mijnans 56'

Forward

I. Sadiq

R. Daal 77'

A. Oufkir

J. Hornkamp

M. Meerdink

I. Jensen 56'

Missing players

FC Noah
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

R. Owusu Oduro

Defender

D. Kasius

Midfielder

J. Clasie

Forward

L. Zeefuik

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato FC Noah
CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina N. Mulahusejnovic (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands S. Mijnans (6 Goals)
Best assists
Japan T. Oshima (2 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands K. Smit (4 Assists)

FC Noah - AZ Alkmaar Key Points

  1. Noah has scored in seven of their eight Conference League games since the qualification playoffs.
  2. Both teams have scored in six of Noah’s eight Conference league games in this campaign.
  3. Alkmaar conceded in two of their three away games in this tournament, allowing seven goals in just two away games.
  4. Both teams have scored in Alkmaar's last four games and in six of its last seven.
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Our FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Even the betting odds suggest this won't be an easy game for AZ Alkmaar. Even with FC Noah’s winless streak, their performances in this tournament are just undeniable.

Of the four home games they've played throughout the tournament, they have won three convincingly, scoring in all four games. De Kaaskoppen is also promising goals after having scored in its last ten games and in 13 of its last 14. Hence, our FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Noah AZ Alkmaar

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
FC Noah wins 3.9 3.7 -5.1%
Draw 3.34 3.85 +15.3%
AZ Alkmaar wins 2.01 1.98 -1.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 49.8% and is now 50.5% (0.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction