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21 April 2023 - 15:00 

- Day 32

England - Premier League

Arsenal
VS
Southampton

Prediction :

Gabriel Jesus to score

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Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Daniel Ngulu in Premier League Prediction

After recent struggles, Arsenal will look to get back to winning ways when they host Southampton on Friday in Round 32 of the English Premier League. Arsenal have seen their advantage at the top of the standings cut to just four points and cannot afford to drop points again here, Southampton, on the other hand, are struggling at the foot of the table and come to this match four points away from safety.

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For this match, bookmakers have backed Arsenal winning and have priced a home win at 1.2 with a draw coming at 8.2. A win for Southampton is the least likely result according to the bookies who have priced an away win at 18.5.

Arsenal vs Southampton Form

Arsenal and Southampton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
84 38 26 6 6 45
20
Southampton
Southampton
25 38 6 7 25 -37

Arsenal and Southampton Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W D W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

16 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Arsenal

9 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Leeds

19 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

16 Mar 2023 - Europa League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

12 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  3
Arsenal
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
D L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

15 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  2
Crystal Palace

8 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  4
Manchester City

2 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  0
Southampton

18 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
3 :  3
Tottenham

15 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  2
Brentford

12 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Southampton

Arsenal against Southampton : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

33 %

Draw

33 %

Southampton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

23 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Arsenal

16 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Arsenal

11 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Southampton

26 Jan 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Arsenal

23 Jan 2021 - FA Cup

Southampton
1 :  0
Arsenal

16 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Southampton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Arsenal - Southampton: Form Analysis

Though they’ve played a game more Arsenal still have the title race in control but failure to win here will change those dynamics drastically. This is thus a must-win match for the Gunners who have amassed 74 points and have a four-point advantage on second-placed Manchester City but the defending champions have a game in hand. Mikel Arteta’s men have drawn their last two matches, losing two-goal leads to settle for a share of the spoils against Liverpool and West Ham United with both matches ending 2-2. Arsenal will be relieved to be playing in front of home support for this fixture with their last two matches having been on the road. Arsenal’s home form in the Premier League is superb as they have dropped only seven points from a possible 54 that were on offer since last April.

Southampton’s chances of survival are out of their hands and even if they win their remaining seven matches, they will have to depend on other results going their way for them to maintain their top-flight status for a 12th successive season. Ruben Selles’ men have 23 points after 31 matches, and have lost the joint most matches, at 20. They come into this match having not won in their last six matches and have lost four straight, conceding seven goals while scoring just one. Despite this woeful form, Southampton have always found some reprieve when coming up against Arsenal. Earlier this season, the Saints held the league leaders to a 1-1 draw, extending their unbeaten run to two in this matchup. A win here will send them to within one point of safety before the rest of the teams above them take to the field on Saturday.

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Arsenal against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Ramsdale
4
B. White
16
R. Holding
6
Gabriel
35
O. Zinchenko
8
M. Odegaard
5
T. Partey
21
F. Vieira
7
B. Saka
9
G. Jesus
11
G. Martinelli
26
C. Alcaraz
32
T. Walcott
9
A. Armstrong
45
R. Lavia
8
J. Ward Prowse
24
M. Elyounoussi
15
R. Perraud
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
35
J. Bednarek
2
K. Walker-Peters
31
G. Bazunu

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Southampton

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

W. Saliba

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

M. Elneny

B. Saka

Forward

L. Trossard

R. Nelson

G. Martinelli

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

J. Larios

M. Salisu

R. Perraud

A. Bella-Kotchap

Forward

C. Adams

Arsenal & Southampton Squad Analysis

Arsenal don’t have any injury concerns to report on following the West Ham game but will still continue to be without William Saliba, Mohammed Elneny and Takehiro Tomiyasu. Bukayo Saka missed a crucial penalty in the game against West Ham and will be under pressure to make up for that. The England international has not scored in the last three matches but remains one of Arsenal’s main threats in attack together with Gabriel Jesus and Gabriel Martinelli. Jesus has scored four goals in his last three matches.

Southampton will be without Ainsley Maitland-Niles as the defender, on loan from Arsenal, isn’t eligible to play against his parent club. Apart from Niles, everyone who was involved for Southampton in their last match against Crystal Palace will be available for selection. The Saints have scored just one goal from their last three matches but should be boosted by the possible return of top scorer Che Adams who has missed the last three matches due to a calf injury. The forward has scored 10 league goals while assisting three more. Theo Walcott could also get a run against his former club.

Arsenal - Southampton Key Points

  1. Arsenal have won two of the last four matches against Southampton
  2. Arsenal have won six of their last 10 matches
  3. Southampton have lost six of their last 10 matches
  4. Southampton have lost six of their last 10 away matches in the Premier League
  5. Arsenal have won four of their last five home matches
  6. Arsenal have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine matches
  7. Gabriel Jesus has scored four in the last three matches for Arsenal
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Our Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction

Arsenal have stuttered in recent weeks but they have enough quality in them to put a struggling Southampton to the sword. Playing at home has favored Arsenal this season and we will back the same here. The most exciting stat coming from the recent matches is Gabriel Jesus scoring in all the last three games as he enjoys a great return from injury. Our prediction for Arsenal v Southampton is for Gabriel Jesus to score.

Prediction :

Gabriel Jesus to score

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Arsenal vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Arsenal have been rampant in attack all season and should not struggle for goals against a team that has kept only one clean sheet away from home since last October. The Gunners’ matches have had over 2.5 goals in each of the last four and we feel it will also achieve over 2.5 goals.

Arenal to score first

Southampton have conceded the first goal in each of their last five matches. Arsenal on the other hand have broken the deadlock in each of their last seven games. We will also go for Arsenal to score first here.
Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction

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