Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
27/07/2025 07:30
Newcastle

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

Arsenal will look to end their Singapore leg of the preseason with a friendly against Newcastle United at the National Stadium in Kallang on Sunday. This match between the Gunners and the Magpies comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

The Gunners are looking to go one better than the last two seasons, where they finished as runners-up in the English Premier League. Newcastle finished fifth in the Premier League last season and have set their sights on improving their performance.

This is the second friendly for Arsenal, following a 1-0 win over AC Milan in the midweek. The victory was fashioned by a Bukayo Saka goal in the second half, although the teams went ahead to have penalties that were eventually won by Milan.

All the talk in the Arsenal camp was around signing Viktor Gyokeres in time for this game, although that wouldn't change the fact that coach Mikel Arteta would test the entire squad.

Newcastle have been rocked with Alexander Isak handing in a transfer request, while their 4-0 loss to Celtic in Glasgow was a third consecutive match in which they failed to score.

That sequence included a 1-0 loss to Arsenal at the Emirates, although they had twin 2-0 wins in the semi-final of the EFL Cup over the same opponent.

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Arsenal v Newcastle Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.55 4.4 5.4
1xbet
1.6 4.3 4.71
Melbet
1.58 4.28 5.3
Betwinner
1.62 4.34 4.51
Bet365
1.62 4.33 4.75
Check all Arsenal vs Newcastle odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Newcastle?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Newcastle match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/07/2025 between Arsenal and Newcastle in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.7% for a win of Arsenal against Newcastle with odds of 1.62 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Newcastle is 21.01% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Arsenal with odds of 5.6 at Shangrila.

Arsenal - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Newcastle Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 44.7% 1.62 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 50.01% 1.62 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 53.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal 16.17% 4.5 at Bet365

Arsenal vs Newcastle Form

Arsenal and Newcastle Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Arsenal

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

7 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth
D D L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

29 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

23 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Arsenal

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

7 May 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

16 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal
Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W D W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
4 :  0
Newcastle

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Everton

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Ipswich Town
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Everton

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Ipswich Town

16 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Brentford
W W L D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
4 :  0
Newcastle

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

7 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Newcastle

16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

33 %

Draw

0 %

Newcastle

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Newcastle

5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Newcastle

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

Arsenal vs Newcastle last Lineups

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

36
M. Zubimendi
2
W. Saliba
7
B. Saka
33
R. Calafiori
22
E. Nwaneri
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
19
L. Trossard
4
B. White
29
K. Havertz
23
M. Merino
1
D. Raya
28
J. Willock
2
K. Trippier
33
D. Burn
6
J. Lascelles
1
N. Pope
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
10
A. Gordon
20
A. Elanga
18
W. Osula
37
A. Murphy

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Newcastle

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

T. Setford

A. Rojas

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

M. Salmon

J. Nichols

O. Zinchenko

J. Kiwior

Midfielder

A. Harriman-Annous

M. Dowman

L. Copley

C. Norgaard

M. Odegaard

A. Sambi Lokonga

D. Rice

Forward

G. Martinelli

I. Kabia

R. Nelson

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

O. Vlachodimos

J. Ruddy

Defender

T. Livramento

H. Ashby

M. Targett

E. Krafth

F. Schar

S. Botman

Midfielder

A. Harrison

A. Munda

P. Seung-soo

L. Miley

T. Hernes

J. Murphy

Forward

S. Neave

H. Barnes

Joelinton

Arsenal - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Two of Arsenal’s last three matches saw them win 1-0, including one against Newcastle.
  2. Newcastle failed to score in their last four matches, including a friendly against Celtic.
  3. Four of Newcastle’s last five matches going back to last season have seen fewer than three goals.
  4. The last four matches between Arsenal and Newcastle in all competitions produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction

Newcastle wouldn't have considered that this transfer window would have been frustrating. The Magpies have been frustrated in the market chasing their targets, while Alexander Isak submitting a transfer request has complicated things. That said, friends are about experimenting, and both teams are likely to continue testing their bench strength, including Academy regulars. Arsenal enjoyed success against AC Milan, while Newcastle's poor show against Celtic could be treated as an aberration, looking at the quality still in their squad.

This game could be a low-scoring fixture, and our Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Newcastle

Arsenal vs Newcastle Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Arsenal wins 1.63 1.62 -0.6%
Draw 4.08 4.4 +7.8%
Newcastle wins 5.05 5.6 +10.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 61.3% and is now 61.7% (0.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction