Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction - FA Cup

England - FA Cup

Arsenal

12/01/2025 10:00

Manchester United

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Prediction published on 10/01/2025, 10:00 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 10/01/2025 at 17:01 in FA Cup Predictions

The match of the FA Cup third round sees Arsenal home to the cup holders Manchester United in an all-Premier League clash. Between them these two clubs have won the FA Cup 27 times with Arsenal winning 14 and the Red Devils 13. Read our match prediction below.

United are the cup holders and this competition represents one of their best chances to secure European football next season. It’s been a dismal few weeks for them despite appointing a new coach. The recent draw at Liverpool may give them some hope of a better 2025.

Arsenal last won the FA Cup in 2020 and since then have failed to get past round four. Drawing Manchester City and Liverpool in the past two seasons hasn’t helped though. Now they have another tough third round tie, the second in a run of five consecutive home matches. Can the Gunners make it into round four?

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Arsenal vs Manchester United Form

Arsenal and Manchester United Last Matches

Arsenal Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W D L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

0 : 2

Newcastle

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 1

Arsenal

1 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford

1 : 3

Arsenal

27 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 0

Ipswich Town

21 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

1 : 5

Arsenal

18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

3 : 2

Crystal Palace

W W D W W L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

17% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

0 : 2

Newcastle

27 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 0

Ipswich Town

18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

3 : 2

Crystal Palace

14 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

0 : 0

Everton

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal

3 : 0

Monaco

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Manchester United

W W D W W D

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals

100% BTTS

3.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 1

Arsenal

1 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford

1 : 3

Arsenal

21 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

1 : 5

Arsenal

8 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Fulham

1 : 1

Arsenal

30 Nov 2024 - Premier League

West Ham

2 : 5

Arsenal

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon

1 : 5

Arsenal

Manchester United Last matches

All Home Away

W L L L L D

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

2.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 2

Manchester United

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 2

Newcastle

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

2 : 0

Manchester United

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Bournemouth

19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham

4 : 3

Manchester United

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City

1 : 2

Manchester United

W W W L L L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 2

Newcastle

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Bournemouth

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 3

Nottingham Forest

1 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

4 : 0

Everton

28 Nov 2024 - Europa League

Manchester United

3 : 2

Bodoe/Glimt

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 0

Leicester

L W W L L D

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 2

Manchester United

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

2 : 0

Manchester United

19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham

4 : 3

Manchester United

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City

1 : 2

Manchester United

12 Dec 2024 - Europa League

Viktoria Plzen

1 : 2

Manchester United

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Manchester United

Arsenal vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

83 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester United

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83

Total goals

50%

BTTS

1.83

Goals scored

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 0

Manchester United

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

2 : 1

Manchester United

12 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 1

Arsenal

3 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 1

Manchester United

22 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

0 : 2

Manchester United

22 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 2

Manchester United

Arsenal - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Arsenal have lost four of their last five FA Cup matches so are probably overdue for a run in this competition. They are second in the Premier League but struggling to keep up with leaders Liverpool.

Midweek saw them lose 2-0 at home to Newcastle United in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final. They certainly won't want an early FA Cup exit to swiftly follow that disappointing result.

Are United finally finding some form?

Manchester United ended a poor run of results with a 2-2 draw at Liverpool. They led and trailed in that match but at least it wasn’t another defeat after losing four in a row. Not since 2014 have United been beaten in the third round of the FA Cup.

They have conceded eight goals in their last three matches but have scored five themselves. United lost 2-0 to Arsenal last month but did win at the Emirates in 2019. Their last five FA Cup away games have been won with both teams having scored in three of the last four.

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Arsenal vs Manchester United last Lineups

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

G. Magalhaes

J. Timber

K. Havertz

W. Saliba

M. Lewis-Skelly

G. Martinelli

Jorginho

G. Jesus

M. Merino

D. Raya

M. Odegaard

M. De Ligt

D. Dalot

A. Bayindir

H. Maguire

B. Fernandes

A. Garnacho

R. Hojlund

K. Mainoo

N. Mazraoui

M. Ugarte

L. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester United

Substitutes

Arsenal

Goalkeeper

Neto

Defender

J. Kiwior

O. Zinchenko

K. Tierney

Jorginho 113'

Midfielder

N. Butler-Oyedeji

D. Rice

M. Merino 73'

L. Trossard

M. Lewis-Skelly 91'

T. Partey

J. Timber 100'

Forward

R. Sterling

G. Jesus 40'

Manchester United

Goalkeeper

A. Onana

Defender

L. Yoro

H. Maguire 104'

T. Malacia

M. Ugarte 91'

Midfielder

Casemiro

C. Eriksen

T. Collyer

K. Mainoo 80'

Forward

J. Zirkzee

R. Hojlund 81'

Antony

A. Diallo

A. Garnacho 80'

Missing players

Arsenal

Forward

B. Saka

Manchester United

Defender

L. Shaw

Arsenal & Manchester United Squad Analysis

There's been little change in the Arsenal injury situation after their midweek Carabao Cup loss. The Gunners will continue to be without Bukayo Saka, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ben White and Ethan Nwaneri.

Leandro Trossard began the game against Newcastle and was tried out on the right flank. That didn't work well and he went off at half-time and might not start this FA Cup tie against Manchester United.

Jesus may start for the Gunners.

Gabriel Jesus could well start this cup tie and Riccardo Calafiori is another possible starter. Who'll be in goal? Neto couldn't play in the Carabao Cup but is eligible for this competition so may replace Raya.

Another big question is whether Marcus Rashford will feature for Manchester United. He's rumoured to be on the move this month and missed last weekend's match against Liverpool through illness.

Definitely missing for United will be Victor Lindelof, Luke Shaw and Mason Mount. United do tend to make a fair few changes to their starting line-up and that may well be the case again here, especially with a midweek Premier League game. Altay Bayındır will be in goal for United this weekend.

Arsenal - Manchester United Key Points

Both teams have scored in four of the last six Arsenal matches.
Seven of the last nine Manchester United away games have seen both teams score.
Both teams have scored in four of the last five Manchester United FA Cup ties.
Three of the last four Arsenal home games against Manchester United have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
The last two FA Cup games between these two clubs have both seen each side score.

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Our Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction

Manchester United won't want to lose their grip on the FA Cup. They won the trophy last season and this time around it's one of their few chances to qualify for European football next season. They put in an improved performance against Liverpool last weekend but are still conceding too many goals.

Arsenal had a disappointing midweek result against Newcastle. The FA Cup might also be their best chance of winning a trophy this season. Our main Arsenal v Manchester United prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Arsenal vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.91

Four of the last five Manchester United away games have seen over 2.5 goals scored in the match. Five of the last seven games played between these two clubs have seen at least three goals scored.

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Arsenal vs Manchester United - FAQs

This FA Cup tie is being shown live on BBC One and online at iPlayer and a subscription isn't required. All that's happening in the game can be followed on our FA Cup livescore with live text commentary and updated statistics helping you with your in-play bets.

This FA Cup tie between Arsenal and Manchester United is being played on Sunday January 12. It is due to start at 15:00 UK time.

This is a home tie for Arsenal so that means the game will be played at the Emirates in North London. Arsenal have won four of their last five FA Cup home games.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.