England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
A match that has in recent years turned crucial to the Premier League title race is with us again this weekend! Arsenal welcomes Manchester City at the Emirates Stadium. This is the venue where Manchester City suffered a crushing 5-1 defeat last season, leaving a massive dent in their title defence. Will they get their revenge, or can Arsenal extend their recent dominance in the fixture? Read on for our prediction.
Arsenal have had a strong start to the season, standing out as a well-packed defensive unit but also lethal in attack. In their five matches this season, the Gunners have bagged four wins and only conceded once.
Manchester City have blown cold at times, but in the last two matches they showed their attacking flow that has come to decimate many a team. The two coaches are well known to each other, and City’s forward Erling Haaland has had his open battles with Arsenal defender Gabriel, all adding to the thrills of this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.55 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Manchester City match is: Arsenal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Arsenal and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.86% for a win of Arsenal against Manchester City with odds of 2.06 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Manchester City is 11.1% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Arsenal with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
Arsenal - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 48.86% | 2.06 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.67% | 1.8 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 32.5% | |
| Half-time: Manchester City / Full-time: Arsenal | 20.06% | 23 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Manchester City Form
Arsenal and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
|
2
|
19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
Arsenal and Manchester City Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
7 May 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Premier League
17 May 2025 - FA Cup
Arsenal vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Sept 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2023 - Community Shield
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Arsenal will have reason to stay confident going into this game. The only goal they’ve conceded this season came from set play.
They’ve been watertight at the back while maintaining a threat in goal, thanks to a busy summer that brought their squad depth close to, if not at par with, City.
Runners-up in the league title race the last three seasons, the Gunners have, in recent years, approached this match and many big ones with confidence.
They are coming from a well-earned 2-0 away win at Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League and will have a second straight home league match after the 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest last week.
Both City and Arsenal scored five and kept two clean sheets ahead of their meeting.
Manchester City have suffered two defeats this season, raising questions about their ability in trying to reclaim the league title. Pep Guardiola’s men answered those questions emphatically on the pitch in the last two matches.
First they thumped archrivals Manchester United 3-0 to bag the Manchester derby bragging rights. Then in the Champions League, City made light work of the Italian champions Napoli, winning 2-0.
While the losses to Brighton and Tottenham stick up City’s profile, there’s no denying they’ve dictated play on their day.
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Players list
D. Raya
DefenderG. Martinelli
W. Saliba
G. Magalhaes
R. Calafiori
MidfielderE. Eze
C. Mosquera
D. Rice
E. Nwaneri
ForwardB. Saka
V. Gyokeres
G. Donnarumma
DefenderM. Nunes
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderJ. Stones
Rodri
B. Silva
N. Ake
T. Reijnders
ForwardSavinho
N. Gonzalez
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderC. Mosquera
B. White
MidfielderC. Norgaard
M. Lewis-Skelly
ForwardG. Martinelli
E. Eze
E. Nwaneri
B. Saka
J. Trafford
DefenderN. Ake
R. Lewis
J. Stones
Savinho
M. Nunes
N. Gonzalez
O. Bobb
D. Mukasa
Missing players
P. Hincapie
MidfielderM. Odegaard
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
R. Ait-Nouri
MidfielderR. Cherki
ForwardO. Marmoush
Arsenal & Manchester City Squad Analysis
This match is nothing without the thrills of the matchday squads.
Gabriel Magalhaes, like in most previous meetings, will be a key player. He has a self-declared rivalry with Erling Haaland that makes the duo’s battles always something to look forward to.
Now this time he will have additional duties to his profile, donning the armband in skipper Martin Odegaard’s absence. Another key battle area will be the midfield.
Martin Zubimendi has been superb for Arsenal so far and capped it with two goals last week. He will welcome the prospect of facing his international teammate, Rodri.
Arsenal are without Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard. City misses Matteo Kovacic.
Manchester City have brought in a number of players to bolster after a trophyless season. The biggest of them has to be Gianluigi Donnarumma.
Arriving from PSG, the Italian got his debut in the Manchester derby and proved his mettle as a big-game player. There’s no time for him to catch a breath, as this is almost as intense as a derby.
Erling Haaland’s importance in recent weeks and in this fixture goes without mentioning. The Norwegian has punished Arsenal time and again, and coming here in good form makes him a possible scorer. He has in recent times benefitted from Jeremy Doku’s imperious form.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Manchester City
V. Gyokeres
(6 Goals)
E. Haaland
(18 Goals)
L. Trossard
(4 Assists)
, 
D. Rice
(4 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(5 Assists)
Arsenal - Manchester City Key Points
- Arsenal won their last three league matches at home.
- In their last five meetings with City, Arsenal are unbeaten.
- Manchester City lost twice in their last three league matches.
- Arsenal beat Manchester City in their last two meetings at the Emirates.
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction
Arsenal have in recent times managed to turn the head-to-head tide in this fixture. This is no longer the easy match City used to have. The Gummers are unbeaten in the last five matches against City in all competitions and have won the last two at the Emirates.
That gap could get even narrower, looking at Arsenal’s form at home and their defensive performances. The hosts have good depth now, and even without key men, they are still dangerous. Our prediction for Arsenal v Manchester City is that Arsenal wins the match.
Arsenal vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
While Arsenal have been tight defensively so far and not conceding through open play, this will be a different ball game. Keeping the Manchester City forward line quiet all through the 90 minutes will not be an easy task. Similarly, City may find it tough silencing the Arsenal forwards. Viktor Gyokeres has especially been on fire in home matches and will be a handful for the visiting defence. Back both teams to score in our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Manchester City
| Arsenal vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.91 | 2 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Manchester City wins | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 50.0% (-2.4%)
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Arsenal vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The Arsenal v Manchester City match will be played on Sunday, 21st September.
The Arsenal v Manchester City match will be played at the Emirates Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
