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07 January 2024 - 11:30 

- R.3

England - FA Cup

Arsenal
VS
Liverpool

Prediction :

Arsenal to score first goal

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Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

 by Daniel Ngulu | in FA Cup Prediction

Arsenal and Liverpool will put to the side their league title ambitions to face off in the FA Cup third round. In this clash on Sunday, the two sides will be meeting for the second time in a fortnight after an earlier league meeting in Liverpool. This season, Arsenal will be hoping to advance past the fourth round for the first time since 2020. Liverpool, on the other hand, are looking to win their ninth FA Cup, and also rising past their fourth round exit last season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.05 3.75 3.2
NetBet
2.02 3.5 3.15
Check all Arsenal vs Liverpool odds
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Who will win the Arsenal vs Liverpool Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Arsenal and Liverpool of FA Cup on 1/7/24 :

  • There is a probability of 46.69% ⭐ for Arsenal to win this match against Liverpool ⚽ with odds of 2.05 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.75 which implies a probability of 19.09%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Liverpool to win the match are about 3.2 at Bet365. That means a probability of 34.22%.

Arsenal - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Arsenal  is favoured to win46.69 %2.05
Draw19.09 %3.75
Liverpool wins the game34.22 %3.2

Arsenal vs Liverpool Form

Arsenal and Liverpool Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
L D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Arsenal

28 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
West Ham

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Arsenal

17 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

12 Dec 2023 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  1
Arsenal

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Arsenal
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

1 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Newcastle

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Liverpool

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Arsenal

20 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
5 :  1
West Ham

17 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Manchester United

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  1
Liverpool

Arsenal against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

17 %

Draw

50 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Arsenal

9 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

9 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Liverpool

16 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Liverpool

20 Jan 2022 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Liverpool

13 Jan 2022 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  0
Arsenal
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Arsenal - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Hosts Arsenal go into this game looking to rise from two straight losses that ended their 2023 on a low. It hasn’t been a great run in recent matches for Arsenal, and the pressure on Mikel Arteta’s side is high. The only time they avoided defeat in the last three games was in the 1-1 draw with Liverpool at Anfield. Arsenal take into this game one win in their last six matches. That win, a 2-0 outcome against Brighton was also a labored one and Arteta will want a break here. While they’ve done well at home, Arsenal’s last home match didn’t live to their expectations, losing 2-0 to West Ham United. It won’t help much that in the last 10 meetings with Liverpool, Arsenal have just one win inside 90 minutes. However, they’ve avoided defeat in their last three meetings with Liverpool, the last two ending in draws. The Gunners have a good scoring run at home too. For the first time in 13 home matches this season, Arsenal failed to score when they fell to West Ham United.

Liverpool have taken full advantage of Arsenal’s slump and go into this game five points ahead of the Gunners. However, their league gains will not matter here as they seek to advance to the fourth round of this competition. The Reds will be targeting a first win over Arsenal in four meetings. Doing this without a number of their key players makes the job harder. Despite being clearly weakened, Liverpool will hope to build on a 4-2 win over Newcastle United last time out. They are unbeaten in five matches, winning three. In their last 10 games, Liverpool have managed seven wins. A key weakness they’ll want to work on is that of conceding first in their away matches. It has happened three times in the last five away matches.

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Players list

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

Defender

Gabriel

B. White

W. Saliba

E. Smith-Rowe

Midfielder

E. Nketiah

M. Odegaard

B. Saka

D. Rice

L. Trossard

Forward

G. Martinelli

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

J. Gomez

I. Konate

T. Alexander-Arnold

J. Quansah

Midfielder

R. Gravenberch

B. Clark

Forward

C. Bradley

D. Nunez

L. Diaz

D. Jota

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

D. Raya

Defender

L. Sousa

Cedric

R. Walters

Midfielder

E. Smith-Rowe

J. Kiwior

Forward

G. Martinelli

R. Nelson

E. Nwaneri

E. Nketiah

Jorginho

L. Trossard

K. Havertz

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

C. Kelleher

Defender

L. Chambers

C. Bradley

H. Elliott

Midfielder

R. Gravenberch

A. Mac Allister

J. McConnell

B. Clark

C. Jones

T. Nyoni

Forward

K. Gordon

D. Jota

C. Gakpo

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

J. Matip

Midfielder

Thiago

Forward

D. Jota

Arsenal & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Arsenal would have wished for the Asian Cup and African Cup of Nations to come much later. The two tournaments will see the Gunners miss two key players for at least a month. They just released defender Takehiro Tomiyasu and midfielder Thomas Partey for the competitions. Tomiyasu who recovered from injury to feature against Fulham is away with Japan while Partey has heeded a call from Ghana. Jurrien Timber and Fabio Viera are still in the treatment room with ACL and groin injuries respectively. The Gunners will have more defensive problems with Oleksandr Zinchenko doubtful with a calf problem. At Liverpool, the injury problem still persists. Ben Doak, out with a knee issue, is sharing the treatment room with Kostas Tsimikas, Thiago Alcantara, Andy Robertson and Joel Matip. A recent addition to this list is Dominik Szoboszlai who limped off in the Newcastle United game. Meanwhile, Wataru Endo is away with Japan for the Asian Cup. Jurgen Klopp’s side will also be without key forward Mo Salah who is away with Egypt for the AFCON finals.

Arsenal - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Arsenal have scored first in four of their last five matches
  2. In nine of 10 home matches, Arsenal scored the opening goal
  3. Liverpool have conceded first in three of their last five away matches
  4. Liverpool have conceded first in the last three meetings with Arsenal
  5. In their last FA Cup game, against Brighton, Liverpool conceded first
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Our Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

Arsenal have proven to be fast starters in their home matches this season. Seeking to prove a point here, we expect them to go for an early goal. They’ve done it in the last three meetings with Liverpool. Liverpool have conceded first in a number of their recent away matches and we will bet on the same here. Our prediction for Arsenal v Liverpool is for Arsenal to score first.

Prediction :

Arsenal to score first goal

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Arsenal vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Both teams have scored in three of Arsenal’s last five matches. It is increasingly becoming rare for Arsenal to keep clean sheets and we expect them to struggle on that front here too. Liverpool have also shown this as a major weakness. We will back both teams to score here.

Over 2.5 goals

Three of Arsenal’s last five home matches have been high-scoring, all producing over 2.5 goals. The Gunners have scored more than a goal in four of their last five matches at home. However they have just two clean sheets in that run. Liverpool have also been prolific away from home, scoring more than once in three of four matches. Two of their last three away matches have had over 2.5 goals. We expect this one too to have over 2.5 goals.
Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

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Arsenal vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

The Arsenal v Liverpool match will be staged at the Emirates Stadium in London

The Arsenal v Liverpool match will start at 4:30pm UK time on Sunday 7th January

In the Arsenal v Liverpool match, Arsenal are set to miss Mohamed Elneny, Thomas Partey, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jurrien Timber and Fabio Viera.

In the Arsenal v Liverpool match, Liverpool are set to miss Mohamed Salah, Wataru Endo, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ben Doak, Kostas Tsimikas, Thiago Alcantara, Andy Robertson and Joel Matip.

The Arsenal v Liverpool game will be live on BBC One. The match, like other FA Cup games, will also have live updates coverage on Sportytrader.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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