Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
The “match of the round” in the quarterfinal of the Hong Kong Open has to be the game between Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges. It's world no.16 versus 45 in their third career meeting, which the former leads in. Is Rublev going to make it 3-0 in their H2H, or is it Borges’s time to shine? Check out our match prediction below.
Rublev is an accomplished man with 17 ATP Tour singles titles to his name. And one of those titles just happens to be the Hong Kong Open in 2024, its revival year. Rublev missed out on a chance to defend his title the following year due to a RO16 exit to Fabian Marozsan.
But the Russian now has a strong chance at the title once more after beating Yibing Wu to reach the quarterfinals. Rublev is on form after winning six of his last seven singles. But will be especially confident against Borges, a player he's won in every past meeting and beat in the Doha Tour to win his latest title.
However, Borges is already tearing through the tournament and is just as determined for a final four spot. Borges beat Damir Dzumhur 2-0 in the RO32, before repeating that score line against Croatian legend Marin Cilic in the last stage. See key betting stats below!
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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.48 | 2.7 |
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1.5 | 2.6 |
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|
1.48 | 2.5 |
|
Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges match is: Borges wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges game on 09/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Andrey Rublev has a 59.93% chance to win against Nuno Borges according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.5.
- Nuno Borges has a 40.07% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 59.93 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | 59.93 % |
| Nuno Borges | 40.07 % |
Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Form
Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
21 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
4 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
2 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
21 Oct 2024 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges Key Points
- Borges has an outstanding 70.1% win rate on hardcourt, which surpasses Rublev’s 65.4%.
- Borges also edges in career win rate (65.7%) compared to Rublev’s 64.1%.
- Rublev has dropped a set in three of his last four three-set singles, and also in 15 of his last 21.
- Borges has won a set in 11 of his last 15 singles.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges Prediction
We don't doubt that Rublev is going to beat Borges once again. What we don't see is the Russian doing so without a reply. Rublev remains the better player with a cabinet of 17 titles to show for it.
However, Borges’ performance on this surface is too good to deny. The Portuguese man boasts a 70.1% career win rate on hardcourt, one of the best in the sport. And he also edges Rublev in career win rate. Hence, our Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges prediction is that Borges wins a set.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Andrey Rublev vs. Nuno Borges game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Hong Kong Open!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
