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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina is again going well in Toronto. The 20th seed is up against sixth-seeded Andrey Rublev in the last 16 of the Canadian Open. Can he reach the last eight? Here's our match prediction.
This outdoor hard court tournament was last held in Toronto two years ago. Davidovich-Fokina reached the semi-finals on that occasion. The Spaniard is in top form at present and was the runner-up in Washington last month.
In this tournament, he’s beaten Corentin Moutet and 12th seed Jakub Mensik, both in straight sets. He’s now 18th in the live rankings and seven places higher in the ATP Race.
Andrey Rublev had to come from a set down to beat Lorenzo Sonego on Friday. He was the Canadian Open runner-up last year but that tournament was played in Montreal. Rublev leads his opponent 5-1 in previous meetings, winning both matches played on this surface.
This year has seen the Russian win the Doha hard court title and reach two other semi-finals, one last month in Los Cabos. He’s been in and out of the top ten this year and is currently 11th in the live rankings, but five places below his opponent in the ATP Race.
We tip Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina to get the win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2 | 1.8 |
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2 | 1.8 |
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2.05 | 1.75 |
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2 | 1.73 |
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2.06 | 1.77 |
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 03/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Andrey Rublev has a 53.56% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.09.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 46.44% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 1.82 at Betobet.
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 53.56 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Andrey Rublev | 53.56 % |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 46.44 % |
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
29 Sep 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
1 Mar 2023 - ATP Dubai Open
Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Davidovich-Fokina is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
- Davidovich-Fokina reached the semi-finals of this tournament two years ago.
- Only ten players have earned more ranking points this year than Davidovich-Fokina.
- Rublev had to go to three sets to win his last match.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
This year saw Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina ended a run of five straight losses to Andrey Rublev. That win came on clay but the Spaniard is in great form on hard courts at present. He's won six of his last seven matches with two top ten players (Fritz and Shelton) beaten.
Andrey Rublev will be a tough opponent and this could go to three sets. The Russian struggled in the last round and our Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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