FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Alverca have a matchday two date with Estrela in the Portuguese Primeira Liga as both teams look to rise from winless outings. The two sides were among the teams with the most draws in the league last season, and our prediction backs shared spoils here.
Alverca finished 11th in 2025/26 and are hoping for a better campaign this time. It wasn’t to be in the first game, though. They had a tough start to life in the new season after being lined up against the reigning champions, FC Porto.
Alverca went on to lose 2-0 and have now failed to win any of their last four league outings. Last season, Alverca drew nine times in the league, and two of those were against Estrela.
Estrela posted 12 draws in the league last season, which was the joint highest tally. They will not look at their performance in the 2025/26 campaign with much pride, having only finished above the relegation zone by virtue of head-to-head numbers.
Across 34 league games, they managed just six wins, with a further 16 ending in defeat. To start this season, they drew 2-2 with giants Sporting Lisbon.
The visitors will be really proud of their performance in the game, having risen from 2-0 down. Their away run in the league is poor, though, having gone winless in the last nine and losing six.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
FC Alverca SAD v Estrela Amadora Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.31 | 3.78 |
|
|
2.10 | 3.24 | 3.70 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.22 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.24 | 3.70 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Alverca SAD and Estrela Amadora?
Our prediction for the FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between FC Alverca SAD and Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.74% for a win of FC Alverca SAD against Estrela Amadora with odds of 2.15 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora is 44.25% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Estrela Amadora vs FC Alverca SAD with odds of 3.78 at 1xbet.
FC Alverca SAD - Estrela Amadora Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Alverca SAD Estrela Amadora Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.25% | 3.35 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.48% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.24% | 5.00 at Bet365 |
FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora Form
FC Alverca SAD and Estrela Amadora's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
|
12
|
10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 |
FC Alverca SAD and Estrela Amadora Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
FC Alverca SAD against Estrela Amadora Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Jhonatan
DefenderI. Julian
D. Spencer
F. Chissumba Rodrigues
Z. Kassary
V. Da Silva Moreira
Rayan Lucas
M. Essimi
A. Soumare
ForwardS. Merheg
C. Nuozzi
T. Tamarit
D. Pinto
D. Grilo
DefenderL. Mincarelli
M. Scholze
A. Chernev
B. Schappo
MidfielderB. Souza
E. Vanga
T. Moustier
S. Serra
ForwardA. Souza
S. Van Hooijdonk
Missing players
S. Abdulai
Most goals and assists
FC Alverca SAD
Estrela Amadora
V. Semedo
(3 Goals)
, 
D. Camara
(3 Goals)
L. Antonetti
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Marcus
(4 Goals)
, 
I. Stoica
(4 Goals)
D. Spencer
(3 Assists)
E. Doue
(3 Assists)
FC Alverca SAD - Estrela Amadora Key Points
- The last two meetings between these sides ended in draws.
- Estrela drew the joint most matches in the league last season.
- Five of Alverca’s nine draws last season were at home.
- Estrela drew their first game of the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora Prediction
No team in the Primeira Liga drew more matches than Estrela last season, and they have started the current campaign in the same way. The visitors posted a 2-2 draw with giants Sporting Lisbon on matchday one and have now drawn three straight matches in the league.
Last season these two sides drew in their home and away meetings. With both having started the season winless, we could have another case of shared spoils. Our prediction for FC Alverca SAD v Estrela Amadora is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Alverca SAD Estrela Amadora
| FC Alverca SAD vs Estrela Amadora | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca SAD wins | 2.26 | 2.15 | -4.9% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.35 | +3.1% |
| Estrela Amadora wins | 3.50 | 3.78 | +8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 29.9% (-0.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the FC Alverca SAD vs. Estrela Amadora game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between FC Alverca SAD and Estrela Amadora? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
