Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
The RO16 of the Hong Kong Open treats us to the first career meeting between Alexandre Muller and Marcos Giron. In truth, it's a tight game on paper and for sports bettors looking for the sharp pick. Thankfully, we have all the details and the best bet in this match prediction.
Alexandre Muller is the reigning Hong Kong Open champion and has started his campaign with a commanding win over Miomir Kecmanovic as the underdog. After exiting in the quarterfinals of the Athens Open before this tournament, Muller is determined to bounce back with his second career singles title.
However, Marcos Giron threatens to end his title defence run before it even gains momentum. Giron had an even louder RO32 victory, thumping Laslo Djere 12-2 in games. Giron also exited in the quarterfinal of the Athens Open to Yannick Hanfmann.
Things have been rather rocky for Giron in recent games, having lost 13 of his last 20 singles. However, the 2024 Hall of Fame Open winner will feel he, too, can lift his second career title with a win over Muller, just as the betting odds suggest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexandre Muller v Marcos Giron Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 1.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 1.85 |
|
|
1.98 | 1.84 |
|
|
2 | 1.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 1.75 |
|
Who will win the Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron match is: Alexandre Muller wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron game on 08/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Alexandre Muller has a 47.74% chance to win against Marcos Giron according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 2.02.
- Marcos Giron has a 52.26% probability of winning facing Alexandre Muller ⭐ with odds of 1.89 at Melbet.
Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexandre Muller has a 47.74 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Muller | 47.74 % |
| Marcos Giron | 52.26 % |
Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Form
Alexandre Muller and Marcos Giron Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
3 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
6 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
4 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron Key Points
- Muller edges Giron in career win rate, with 58.6% to 56.8%.
- Additionally, Muller has a better career hardcourt win rate (60.2%) than Giron (59.2%).
- Muller is the reigning Hong Kong Open champion.
- Muller is ranked higher (52nd) than Giron (64th).
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Our Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Prediction
We're backing Muller to at least make it out of the RO16 in his title defence campaign. Although he's the underdog according to the betting odds, we feel it might just be a case of mispriced odds due to betting sentiment.
That's because in reality, Muller has a higher career win rate generally and also on hardcourt. What's more, Muller sits several places above Giron in the ATP rankings. Hence, our Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron prediction is that Alexandre Muller wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
