Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions
British wild card Jacob Fearnley has struggled on the ATP Tour this year. Round one of Wimbledon sees him face American Alex Michelsen who has never won a main draw match here. Looking at their stats, a long match is likely and our prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
In round two, the winner will take on either 18th seed Francisco Cerundolo or unseeded Jaume Munar.
Fearnley reached round two of this grass court Grand Slam a couple of years ago, losing to Novak Djokovic. He made steady progress up the rankings but has struggled this year with only 12 of his 28 matches being won. He has only got past round one of an ATP Tour event once in 2026.
Earlier this month, Fearnley reached the final of the Ilkley Challenger Tour event.
The last five grass court matches he has played have included a tie-break and nine out of 11 on all surfaces.
Alex Michelsen was 42nd in the last ranking list and that was 110 places above Fearnley. He has not played any warm-up grass court tournaments ahead of this Grand Slam. Two previous visits to Wimbledon have both ended in first round exits.
Michelsen has played four tie-breaks in his last three grass court matches.
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Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.71 | 2.14 |
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1.75 | 2.23 |
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1.7 | 2.17 |
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1.7 | 2.17 |
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1.7 | 2.17 |
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Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley game on 30/06/2026 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 52.8% chance to win against Jacob Fearnley according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- Jacob Fearnley has a 47.2% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.
Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 52.8 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 52.8 % |
| Jacob Fearnley | 47.2 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Form
Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
20 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
18 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 May 2026 - ATP French Open
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
5 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
4 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley Key Points
- The last five matches Fearnley has played have all included a tie-break.
- On all surfaces, there has been a tie-break in nine of Fearnley's last 11 matches.
- Michelsen has played four tie-breaks in his last three grass court matches.
- Michelsen has played two matches at Wimbledon and they included three tie-breaks.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction
Jacob Fearnley has had a disappointing year to date. He did reach a grass court Challenger Tour final but has made little impact at this level in 2026. The British player has a better Wimbledon record than his opponent but this will be a tough opener.
Alex Michelsen has reached one ATP Tour grass court final so does have talent on this surface. This will be his first grass court match of the year. He tends to play a lot of tie-breaks and therefore our Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.