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Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 11 Australia
Alex De Minaur
01/07/2025 06:00
ATP 74 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena

Prediction :

 

De Minaur to win in four sets

4.75
€50 offered for betting!

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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

Alex De Minaur starts his 2025 Wimbledon charge against Roberto Carballes Baena. The two will clash for the fourth time this Tuesday, and we have a prediction of the match below.

For De Minaur, who is here to defend quarter-final points earned last year, this is a favorable draw. He should sail through with ease. The Australian No. 1 has two grass titles, and it is safe to say this is a surface he draws considerable comfort on.

In the last major, De Minaur did a poor job in allowing a two-set lead to slip and lost 3-2 to Alexander Bublik. His first grass match would also end in defeat as he fell to Jiri Lehecka in straight sets at the ATP London.

This looks like a great chance for Carballes Baena to cut De Minaur’s dominance in this fixture. However, the Spaniard doesn’t come here on a very strong footing.

He isn’t a strong player on grass, and the fact that he has been grappling with injury doesn’t help. Carballes Baena is just returning to action after sustaining an injury during the Rome Masters.

He hasn’t warmed up on the grass surfaces, and his confidence could also be low, having lost each of his last three matches. The 32-year-old has registered just one win in the Wimbledon main draw in his last six matches.

The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Roberto Carballes Baena Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.01 34
William Hill
1.01 21
Betway
1.01 23
Ladbrokes
1.01 21
Unibet
1.01 16
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena odds
Up to €50 to bet on Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena! 

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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena match is: De Minaur to win in four sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena game on 01/07/2025 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 79.03% chance to win against Roberto Carballes Baena according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.01.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has a 20.97% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 34 at Bet365.

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 79.03 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur79.03 %
Roberto Carballes Baena20.97 %

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form

Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Jiri Lehecka

29 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  3
Alexander Bublik

27 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Laslo Djere

13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Hugo Dellien
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
abort
Sebastian Ofner

14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Jacob Fearnley

5 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

4 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

2 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  0
Otto Virtanen

31 Mar 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  0
Taha Baadi

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

100 %

Roberto Carballes Baena

0 %

16 Oct 2024 - ATP European Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

11 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Compare Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena with our comparison tool.

Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points

  1. De Minaur beat Carballes Baena in their latest meeting via a deciding set.
  2. Carballes Baena lost three straight matches ahead of this game.
  3. Carballes Baena lost three of his last four games on grass.
  4. De Minaur has dropped at least a set in two of his last three matches.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Roberto Carballes Baena has so far participated in 12 events this season. He suffered first-round defeats in eight of them. The Spaniard has also not been spared by injury either. Meeting a top 20 player on his return to action could mean an extension of his troubles.

Carballes Baena has never beaten a top 20 player on grass surfaces and comes into this match trailing De Minaur 3-0. This outing favors De Minaur, and it will be a big upset if it ends otherwise. Our prediction for Alex De Minaur v Roberto Carballes Baena is for De Minaur to win in four sets.

Prediction :

 

De Minaur to win in four sets

4.75
€50 offered for betting!

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When you place a bet on the match between Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

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