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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Two teams outside the top two spots in Group K of the UEFA World Cup qualification campaign will face off as Albania host Latvia in a matchday six fixture on Tuesday. This match at Air Albania Stadium between the third-placed Red and Blacks and the fourth-placed 11 Wolves comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
With five points Albania (W1, D2, L1) are two points behind second-placed Serbia, who have a game in hand as well. Latvia are a further point behind (W1, D1, L2).
Albania eked out a 1-0 away win over Gibraltar last Thursday to stay in the top two race. That result extended their unbeaten run (W2, D2), keeping three clean sheets in the process.
A chance to appear in their first-ever finals competition is up for grabs, but they will need Albania to improve on their recent form. The hosts lost three of their last six home games (W1, D2, L3) and could be pushed here.
Latvia were beaten 1-0 at home by Serbia last week, making it the third game in their last four fixtures that they failed to score. This process saw them fail to win any (D2, L2), throwing question marks over their chances.
Scoring remains a concern, as Latvia haven’t scored multiple goals in a match across their last 18 fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Albania v Latvia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.33 | 10 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.33 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Albania and Latvia?
Our prediction for the Albania vs Latvia match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Albania and Latvia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.74% for a win of Albania against Latvia with odds of 1.42 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Albania vs Latvia is 38.92% with odds of 5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Albania with odds of 11.5 at 888Starz.
Albania vs Latvia Form
Albania and Latvia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
4
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Albania and Latvia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Albania vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Missing players
E. Kastrati
ForwardM. Uzuni
Most goals and assists
Albania
Latvia
R. Manaj
(2 Goals)
D. Sits
(1 Goals)
,
A. Cernomordijs
(1 Goals)
Albania - Latvia Key Points
- Eight of Albania’s last ten fixtures produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Albania’s last six home games have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Six of Latvia’s last eight matches returned two or fewer goals.
- Latvia failed to score in three of their last four games.
- In three of their last four trips, Latvia saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Albania vs Latvia Prediction
This is an interesting game with big context for both Albania and Latvia. They find themselves separated by just one point, but with Albania two points outside the top two spots, the loser here falls further back in the race for World Cup qualification. With only six goals scored between them in the eight combined matches, it’s safe to say that Albania and Latvia have failed to excite fans.
This match is unlikely to see goals flow, and our Albania vs Latvia prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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