Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Alaves will be targeting a home win when they welcome Villarreal in their next game in La Liga. While Alaves are fighting for survival, Villarreal are pushing for a top four slot. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Alaves’ winless stretch extended to five games as they fell 3-2 to Valencia last time out. It was new manager Quique Sanchez Flores’ first game in charge.
That was their 14th defeat in La Liga; no team outside the relegation zone has lost more. With 27 points, Alaves are two points above the relegation region. Only two sides have scored less than their tally of 25 goals thus far in the season.
Villarreal are coming off a win against another relegation-threatened side, Elche. They won the game 2-1 to stay in control of their top four charge. At 54 points, they are tied with Atletico Madrid but have opened up an 11-point lead in the top four race.
Barring a really big dip, the Yellow Submarines look set to secure a Champions League slot. Their latest win was the 17th of the season, and they’ve scored twice the number of goals Alaves managed, while conceding less.
Six wins in their 13 away league matches and having won 3-1 in the reverse match will have them very confident.
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Alavés v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.34 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.34 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Villarreal match is: Villarreal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/03/2026 between Alavés and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.73% for a win of Alavés against Villarreal with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Villarreal is 26.31% with odds of 3.48 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Alavés with odds of 2.29 at 888Starz.
Alavés - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 37.73% | 3.44 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.53% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Alavés | 17.49% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Alavés vs Villarreal Form
Alavés and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Alavés and Villarreal Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
Alavés against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
G. Swiderski
R. Fernandez
DefenderX. Ibarzabal
V. Koski
P. Sanz
C. Ballestero
Calebe
J. Guridi
D. Suarez
ForwardI. Diabate
A. Rebbach
M. Diaz
A. Tenas
DefenderR. Veiga
W. Kambwala
A. Freeman
T. Partey
D. Parejo
ForwardA. Gonzales
A. Moleiro
T. Oluwaseyi
G. Moreno
Missing players
F. Garces
J. Pacheco
MidfielderA. Guevara
J. Foyth
L. Costa
ForwardA. Perez
P. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Villarreal
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
Alavés - Villarreal Key Points
- Villarreal won three of their last four matches.
- Four of Alaves’ last six matches ended in defeat.
- Villarreal have beaten Alaves twice in their last three meetings.
- Alaves are winless in their last three home matches, losing twice.
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Our Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction
Alaves have a new coach but have failed to hit that bounce since Quique Sanchez Flores’ arrival. There are signs their poor streak will continue here, having not won much of this fixture with Villarreal. They are on a five-game winless run, which involves three defeats.
On the other hand, Villarreal look to have overcome their troubles and are on a healthy run. They won the reverse match and look to complete a league double here. Our prediction for Alaves v Villarreal is that Villarreal wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Villarreal
| Alavés vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 3.39 | 3.44 | +1.5% |
| Draw | 3.39 | 3.48 | +2.7% |
| Villarreal wins | 2.35 | 2.29 | -2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Alavés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.5% and is now 29.1% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
